Prior to the season Gabe Desjardins and I had a conversation over at MC79hockey.com where I predicted several players would combine for a 5v5 on-ice shooting percentage above 10.0% while league average is just shy of 8.0%. I documented this in a post prior to the season. In short, I predicted the following: Crosby, Gaborik, Ryan, [...]
I have been having a discussion as to whether shot quality exists over at Pension Plan Puppets and more precisely whether certain players can drive a teams shooting percentage while they are on the ice. As part of the discussion I brought up the on-ice shooting percentage differences between Scott Gomez and Michael Cammalleri and decided [...]
I hate to keep beating the “Shooting Percentage Matters” drum but it really dumbfounds me why so many people choose to ignore it, or believe it is only a small part of the game and not worth considering and instead focus their attention on corsi/fenwick, and corsi/fenwick derived stats as their primary evaluation too. It [...]
I have just updated my stats site (stats.hockeyanalysis.com) to include a number of new features. The added features are: 1. I have added a new situation – 5v5close. 5v5close is when the game is tied or within 1 goal in the first and second period or tied in the third period. This is what I [...]
Over the past couple of weeks I have had several comment discussions regarding some of my recent posts on player evaluation and Norris and Hart trophy candidates which centered around which is a better method for evaluating players: corsi vs goal based evaluation. A lot of people, maybe the majority of those within the advanced [...]
There seems to be some confusion, or lack of clarity, about my post on corsi vs shooting percentage vs shooting rate the other day so let me clear it up in as straight forward a way as I can. “Hawerchuk” over at BehindTheNetHockey.com writes the following: “I’m not totally sure what he’s getting at. People [...]
The general consensus among advanced hockey statistic analyzers and is that corsi/fenwick stats are the best statistic for measuring player and team talent levels. For those of you who are not aware of corsi and fenwick let me give you a quick definition. Corsi numbers are the number of shots directed at the goal and [...]
(Updated to include 3 seasons of data as I now realize that more luck data was available) The other day there was a post on the Behind the Net Blog which used betting odds to estimate how lucky a team was during the 2009-10 season. In many ways it is quite an ingenious way to [...]
There are two things that must occur to score a goal. The first way is to get an opportunity to score and the second is to capitalize on that opportunity to score. There are a number of statistics that we can use as a proxy for opportunity to score but one of the most common [...]
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David Johnson