Tim Thomas vs Tuukka Rask

There is a post over at Backhand Shelf today that lists 10 backup goalies that have out performed their #1 counterparts.  It is an interesting read but it may be a perfect example of how simple statistics don’t tell the whole story. The first pair of goalies on the list are the Bruins Tukka Rask vs Tim Thomas. Backup: Tuukka Rask (10-4-1, 1.59 GAA, .945 SV%) Starter: Tim Thomas (17-7-0,…

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The Onus of Blame now falls on Burke's shoulders

So we found out over Christmas that Ron Wilson got his wish and got a new contract.  With that the onus of blame for any failures this Leaf team has now clearly falls on Brian Burke’s shoulders.  Specifically, I am talking about the Leafs horrid penalty kill. Ron Wilson was one of, if not the, top paid coach in the NHL.  He is paid like one of the best coaches…

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The Leafs Offensively: Who is good and who is not.

This will be the final part of my unplanned 3-part series on who is good and who is not on the current Leafs team.  The first was about the penalty kill and the second was defensively.  Today we look at the players offensively. The Defensemen Player Name GFA FenF20 Ozone% DION PHANEUF 2.4 15.22 60.2% KEITH AULIE 2.25 14.24 61.9% JOHN-MICHAEL LILES 2.79 13.85 46.1% CARL GUNNARSSON 2.1 13.42 56.1%…

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The Leafs Defensively: Who's good and who's not.

Yesterday I took a look at the Leafs players on the PK to see who has seen good result and who has seen bad results when they have been on the ice.  Today I do the same thing but look at 5v5 situations from the defensive side of things to see if there is any consistency between 5v5 and the PK. The Goalies Player Name GAA SV% JAMES REIMER 1.41…

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Leafs PK: Who's good, who's not.

Considering the Leafs gave up another power play goal last night at a critical moment in the game (allowed Carolina to tie the game late) I thought I toss out some individual numbers for you to see who we can blame.  Now before we get to the numbers I need to caution you that these numbers are based on extremely small sample sizes so they need to be reviewed in…

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Leafs Still a Long Way from Being Good.

The Leafs have played 29 games so far this season, or just over one third of their season.  For the most part it has been relatively good start to the season.  Kessel has led the league in goals and points for most of the season, Lupul has been close behind, and the team has generally been fairly comfortably in a playoff spot.  But in reality, the Leafs are a long…

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Can a Player Influence his Teammates Shooting Percentage?

Gabe Desjardins of Arctic Ice Hockey asks the question about whether a player can influence his teammates shooting percentage.  To answer this question he took a look at the Pittsburgh Penguins shooting percentages with and without Mario Lemieux.  The conclusion: I’d posit that Lemieux’s playmaking contribution is about as large as we’re going to consistently find – something on the order of 7-8% – and we can use it to…

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Thoughts on New Conference Format

In general, I really like the new conference format.  Well, really, I didn’t like the previous conference format so I am glad that is gone.  First off, let me mention a few things that I don’t like about the current setup. 1.  Reduces chances of rivalries forming/developing.  Essentially under the current system if you make the playoffs you could meet any one of 14 other teams in the first round….

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Showing Shooting Percentage Matters (Yet Again)

I hate to keep beating the “Shooting Percentage Matters” drum but it really dumbfounds me why so many people choose to ignore it, or believe it is only a small part of the game and not worth considering and instead focus their attention on corsi/fenwick, and corsi/fenwick derived stats as their primary evaluation too. It dumbfounds me that people don’t think players have an ability to control shooting percentage yet…

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Some Thoughts on Shot Quality

There has been a fair bit of discussion going on regarding shot quality the past few weeks among the hockey stats nuts.  It started with this article about defense independent goalie rating (DIGR) in the wall street journal and several others have chimed in on the discussion so it is my turn. Gabe Desjardins has a post today talking about his hatred of shot quality and how it really isn’t…

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