Predicted Standings, Thoughts on playoff races

The NHL all-star break is over and it is now time for teams to put up or shut up when it comes to making their push for the playoffs because about a month from now they will have to decide once and for all whether to be buyers or sellers in the trade deadline market. So, I figure this is a good time to take another look at where each…

January 28, 2007
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Is the new NHL killing rivalries? (and entertainment?)

This morning on the Team 1200 Pierre McGuire commented that the Colorado-Detroit game last night was an entertaining game. He was then asked if that rivalry was still there and his immediate comment, almost before the question was finished being asked, was and emphatic no, not like before and that none of the players or personalites are there anymore. That got me to thinking, are any rivalries as good now…

January 10, 2007
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Fixing the Schedule

So the NHL govenors met this week to discuss making changes to the NHL schedule but came up with no solution so for now we are stuck with what we have got. Some teams want more interconference play, some teams want none at all. My problem with the schedule is that the teams who are competing with each other to make the playoffs play significantly different schedules. The northeast division…

December 7, 2006
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Revised Player Rankings

A few weeks ago I posted my initial work on developing a player rankings system which got mixed reviews among the more theoretically-based, statistically minded crowd. I am still not going to go down the road of applying pure statistical theory to developing a ranking system (such as what Javageek is doing) but I have significantly rejigged my algorithm and also incorporated powerplay and penalty killing time into the process…

November 30, 2006
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A blast from the past

This may show my age here but I thought it might be interesting for everyone to see one of my first ventures into statistical analysis of hockey statistics. Back in March of 1996, the Leafs traded Darby Hendrickson, Sean Haggerty, Kenny Jonsson and a first round pick (turned out to be Roberto Luongo) to the Islanders for Wendel Clark, Mathieu Schneider and D.J. Smith. Clearly the first round pick and…

November 22, 2006
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Game Prediction Pool

It’s time for some game predicting fun. I had hoped to get this up and running by the start of the season last week but better a little late than never. I am please to announce that HockeyAnalysis.com has a new feature. That is, an NHL game prediction pool. There are probably a few kinks that still have to be worked out in the software but it should work fine….

October 10, 2006
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Ek at it again

This Eklund guy is quite amusing because he throws out all kinds of trade rumours but never considers whether they are at all feasable. The recent ones he is tossing about is a trade between New Jersey and Calgary with Gomez heading to Calgary and Lombardi and others, probably draft picks, heading back to New Jersey. Problem is, Calgary is also pretty close ($41.2 million) to the cap and would…

August 23, 2006
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Does experience win Stanley Cups?

In the comment section of another post a reader going by the name of DB and I had a discussion about the importance of experience on a teams chances of winning, in particular in relation to San Jose who has a relatively inexperienced defense. In order to try to get an idea of how important experience was I took a look at the rosters of the last 4 Stanley Cup…

August 18, 2006
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Leafs Off-Season Report

With the signing of Peca as well as youngsters Wellwood, Bell, Colaiacovo, and Jay Harrison over the past couple of days it seems most of the Leafs off season moves are now complete. There may be some tweaking here and there but for the most part I think what you see is what you get. So, where does that put the Leafs? In the playoffs I think. Last season the…

July 18, 2006
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Fun with Salary Cap Numbers

In the new Salary Cap era general managers are going to have to do some interesting accounting to get the maximum benefit of salary cap dollars as they can. The GMs who do the best managing of the salary cap should have the biggest advantage. I say should because money didn’t help the Rangers in the pre-cap era. So far we have seen a couple tricks used. 1. Sign young…

July 8, 2006
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