Offensive Players Negatively Impact Save Percentage

January 29, 2017

It is all-star weekend and this past week Sportsnet.ca made their picks for “Analytics All-Star Team”. Their eastern conference picks are here and you can find their Western Conference picks here. Their criteria for picking the rosters was simple. They wanted to pick the most fun team to watch and that meant all-out offense. With that in mind, we thought we’d try selecting teams using a statistical basis, shooting for the…

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Is Corsi losing its Correlation with Winning?

January 19, 2017

I had someone e-mail me today asking me why some traditionally good Corsi hockey teams are struggling. Any explanation for the NHL season thus far? I hate to use PDO, but is it just the year of PDO without much further explanation? I can’t believe how many traditionally sound possession teams are struggling this year, Dallas really surprised me and of course as a Blues fan seeing Chicago faring so…

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Theoretical Problems vs Real Problems of the Toronto Maple Leafs

November 26, 2016

I am taking a bit of a hiatus away from my hiatus on blogging because I read something a few days ago that caught my attention both as a Leaf fan and as a hockey analytics enthusiast and felt compelled to respond. The Leafs have been a pretty interesting team this year with a significant infusion of youthful talent in Matthews, Marner and Nylander. They may even be good enough…

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Leafs Off Season: Search for a Defenseman

As it stands right now the Leafs have six NHL experienced defensemen under contract and another three who are restricted free agents.  Assuming all three of the RFA’s get re-signed it leaves the Leafs with 7 defensemen, five of which will be regulars (Phaneuf, Schenn, Gunnarsson, Aulie and Komisarek) and two that are more along the lines of depth defensemen (Lebda and Lashoff).  Phaneuf and Schenn are the top two…

June 7, 2011
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Persistence and Predictability

There seems to be some confusion, or lack of clarity, about my post on corsi vs shooting percentage vs shooting rate the other day so let me clear it up in as straight forward a way as I can. “Hawerchuk” over at BehindTheNetHockey.com writes the following: “I’m not totally sure what he’s getting at. People use Fenwick because it’s persistent, and PDO because it’s not. Over the course of a…

June 1, 2011
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Goal Rates better than Corsi/Fenwick in Player Evaluation

The general consensus among advanced hockey statistic analyzers and is that corsi/fenwick stats are the best statistic for measuring player and team talent levels.  For those of you who are not aware of corsi and fenwick let me give you a quick definition.  Corsi numbers are the number of shots directed at the goal and include shots, missed shots and blocked shots.  Fenwick numbers are the same except it does…

May 30, 2011
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Diary of a Rumour Monger

There is a good chance that Mats Sundin will make an announcement on his future within the next week or so so lets check out some earlier chatter from the internets most notorious (and hugely inaccurate) rumour monger Eklund. May 25: I am told very clearly that Mats looks like he wants to play again. And he should. He looked very good last year and the heart he showed down…

December 8, 2008
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Avery, Laviolette, Maurice, Toskala, Flames Blogger and more…

Just wanted to make a few comments on several recent happenings in the NHL and here at HockeyAnalysis.com. Sean Avery: It is time that someone really put this guy in his place and I think it is really going to happen. Everyone is getting tired of his act and most importantly his teammates and his teams owner is getting tired of his act. His main ally within the Stars organization…

December 3, 2008
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What might Burke do?

So Brian Burke is set to officially, and finally, take over the Leafs general manager position this afternoon. So, what does that mean in the short, medium and long term? Let’s take a look at what Brian Burke might do. When Brian Burke took over the GM position of the Anaheim Ducks in 2005 he inherited a relatively bad team, not unlike the Leafs. But, unlike the Leafs, there was…

November 29, 2008
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Toronto Radio Interview

Just want to let everyone know that I will be doing a radio segment on The Bill Watters Show today at 5:10 eastern on AM640 in Toronto, Home of the Leafs, to discuss HockeyAnalysis.com and maybe some other hockey related stuff. Bill Watters is off on vacation this week so I will be chatting with guest host Bill Hayes, who apparently is a fan of the site. For those in…

November 28, 2008
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