Game Predictions 10/13/2005

I new it would happen. I first day I post predictions things go bad and I go 1 for 4. Hopefully I had enough disclaimers, especially about it being very early in the season to make predictions. In any event, we move on to tonights predictions. If things don’t go well tonight I am going to pause posting any more predictions until more games have been played and predictions are (hopefully) more reliable. Home Team Road Team Predicted Winner Confidence NY Rangers New Jersey NY Rangers Some Washington NY Islanders NY Islanders Some Florida Boston Florida Good Tampa Bay Buffalo

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Game Predictions 10/12/2005

This morning saw the debut of the HockeyAnalysis.com Power Rankings and this afternoon I debut the second HockeyAnalysis.com feature. Game predictions. I was reluctant to debut this so early in the season because these game predictions are determined mathematically based on what teams have done up to this point in the season and since the season is only a week old the predictions may be unreliable. But over the past 2 days my picks in which I had good confidence in have gone 6-2 so maybe it isn’t too early. We’ll see what happens now that I make my picks

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Power Rankings – October 12, 2005

Here is the first edition of the HockeyAnalysis.com NHL Power Rankings. Unlike other power rankings that you see on both mainstream media and hockey fan websites this version of power rankings is 100% non-biased. I have developed a formula to rank teams based on each teams won-loss record, toughness (or weakness) of schedule, as well as a few other factors. Since the season is still quite young there are a few strange ranking showing up but mostly the rankings seem pretty good. One example of this is New Jersey. With a 2-1 record you might think they should be ranked

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Home/Road game strategies

This is my first, of hopefully many, article involving more in depth statistical analysis. I’d like to hear everyone’s thoughts on it and what sort of things they would find interesting to look at. I am working on devising a statistical method to accurately predict which team will win an upcoming game as well as a Power Rankings formula, both of which I hope to unveil in a few weeks time. As part of those projects I have tried to identify what teams win games. Do defensive minded teams win, or do offensive minded teams win. To do this I

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Devils vs. Penguins

The season started with a bang in New Jersey last night. Sidney Crosby got his first taste of NHL action, the new look Pittsburgh offense made it’s debut, and New Jersey’s new defense was showcased as well. Here’s what I thought of the game: Pittsburgh: This team can put some pressure on the net! The first half of the first period was spent on the Pittsburgh powerplay, and the puck rarely came out of the zone. Mario was his usual patient, all-seeing, brilliant self. Sidney, in his first NHL game, was surprisingly composed and alert. If any other goaltender in

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Leafs-Senators and other Hockey Notes

I watched all of the Leafs-Sens game last night as well as some portions of several other games. Here are my random thoughts from what I saw. Leafs Overall they looked very good and only some weak defensive play resulting in Alfredsson’s second goal put a damper on an otherwise good night. If they can play like that every game they will have a very good season. They looked big, strong on the puck, and their average speed didn’t appear to be major liability. Losing Sundin to injury in the first period seemed to hurt the Leafs a lot, especially

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Tracking the New NHL's offense

The “New” NHL is less than 2 hours away and it is time to really see what effect the new rules will have on the game. To do this I have created a tracking table to track this years goals per game average vs that of 2003-04. I hope to keep it updated frequently, especially early in the season, and will make the first update tomorrow. If you are interested in using the goals per game 2003-04 vs 2005-06 comparision image as shown below on your website you may but you must link back to http://www.hockeyanalysis.com should you do so.

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Why the Leafs won't Suck

There seems to be a common thread when discussing the Leafs chances this upcoming season. That thread is that the Leafs will struggle to make the playoffs. I seriously disagree with that claim. The basis for that claim is that they lost way too much talent and the guys they brought in are just way too injury prone. But let’s look at each player that has left and gone and see where things stand. Gone is Gary Roberts who had 28 goals, 48 points in 72 games in 2003-04. Now, in my mind, it is not a stretch of anyone’s

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New Jersey Devils Season Outlook

(Also posted on The Devil’s Advocate) Offense Subtractions: So far, the only forwards to leave the swamp are Jan Hrdina and Jeff Friesen. Hrdina never seemed to fit in too well in New Jersey, and Friesen suffered from chronic underachieving. Friesen was a terrific playoff performer, however, and in that regard he will be sorely missed. Expect more forwards to leave in the next month to clear space in the cap-cramped Meadowlands. Patrik Elias signed a 1-year deal with the team, but will miss at least one month due to hepatitis recovery. Additions: Alexander Mogilny is back in a Devils

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Free Fantasy Hockey Pool

I have started a free fantasyhockey league for all HockeyAnalysis.com readers. To join, go to CDM Sports Free Hockey Pool, create a team and join KrushersGroup using the Access word “hockeyanalysis” (without the quotes). Hope to see you all there. It should be fun. Must be entered before games start tomorrow.

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