There has been a fair bit of discussion going on regarding shot quality the past few weeks among the hockey stats nuts. It started with this article about defense independent goalie rating (DIGR) in the wall street journal and several others have chimed in on the discussion so it is my turn. Gabe Desjardins has [...]
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David Johnson
Earlier this week I participated in several conversations elsewhere and thought I’d post a followup to a few of them. “The Bet” The other day I posted an article about on ice shooting percentage being a talent and referenced a discussion I had with Gabe Desjardin’s of Arctic Ice Hockey at MC79Hockey.com. As part of [...]
There has been an interesting discussion of on-ice shooting percentage at Tyler Dellow’s mc79hockey.com. I have argued that we need to look at on-ice shooting percentage as a talent, and not something that just happens randomly while others have largely dismissed it. One person in particular is Gabe Desjardin’s who has a followup post on his [...]
The Leafs traded for David Steckel yesterday and while this is by no means a significant trade my first reaction to it was a very positive one. A fourth round pick is almost worthless and Steckel is a more than useful quality defensive third/fourth line guy who can kill penalties, something the Leafs desperately need. [...]
Yesterday I posted my 100% statistics based predictions for the eastern conference, today here are the predictions for the western conference. See the eastern conference predictions for more details on how these predictions are calculated but generally speaking I use my player rating system and combine them with my estimates for ice time for every [...]
A week or two ago I presented a prediction of the eastern conference using a purely statistics based analysis. There were a number of limitations with the process which I outlined at the beginning of the post but I have fixed some of those so this is version 2.0 of the prediction algorithm. Let me summarize [...]
Over on Pension Plan Puppets there was a brief discussion of some of the top defensive defensemen and I suggested that Mike Weaver has to be considered among the top few defenders in the NHL. The response was generally along the lines of ‘Mike who?’ and then followed with “he only looks good because he [...]
I have spent a lot of time and effort putting together player ratings so I decided it was time to finally put them to good use and attempt to use them to predict results for the upcoming season. This is my attempt at the eastern conference and time permitting I’ll tackle the western conference in [...]
Here is my view of the top 15 goalies in the NHL today. Although I haven’t presented a hard statistical argument for each goalie I did consult a variety of statistics when compiling the list including some advanced stats and my own player rating system. 1. Tim Thomas – Even if you account for the [...]
I haven’t yet weighed in on the recent deaths of Derek Boogaard and Rick Rypien but with the passing yesterday of Wade Belak I have decided to let my thoughts be heard. First off, it has been a sad summer with the passing of these three players and my sincere condolences go out to their [...]
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David Johnson