Offensive Players Negatively Impact Save Percentage

January 29, 2017

It is all-star weekend and this past week Sportsnet.ca made their picks for “Analytics All-Star Team”. Their eastern conference picks are here and you can find their Western Conference picks here. Their criteria for picking the rosters was simple. They wanted to pick the most fun team to watch and that meant all-out offense. With that in mind, we thought we’d try selecting teams using a statistical basis, shooting for the…

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Is Corsi losing its Correlation with Winning?

January 19, 2017

I had someone e-mail me today asking me why some traditionally good Corsi hockey teams are struggling. Any explanation for the NHL season thus far? I hate to use PDO, but is it just the year of PDO without much further explanation? I can’t believe how many traditionally sound possession teams are struggling this year, Dallas really surprised me and of course as a Blues fan seeing Chicago faring so…

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Predictive Analyics have failed Hockey Analytics

January 2, 2017

A few weeks ago I wrote about the limitations of predictive analytics. Go read that if you haven’t. Here are some areas where predictive analytics has failed hockey analytics. Gabe Desjardins used predictive analytics and suggested one must regress on-ice Shooting Percentage 80% towards the mean. I found that player on-ice shooting regressed 80% to the mean…   Eric Tulsky used predictive analytics and suggested one must regress on-ice shooting…

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