What is ‘open play’ hockey?

In a series of recent posts at mc79hockey.com, Tyler Dellow discussed a new concept (to me anyway) that he called ‘open play’ hockey. In a post on “The Theory of the Application of Corsi%” he wrote: I have my own calculation that I do of what I call an open play Corsi%. I wipe out the faceoff effects based on some math that I’ve done as to how long they…

September 21, 2013
Read More >>

Why corsi/possession should not be the goal

Let’s imagine a sport where two factors are equally correlated with winning so that FactorA is 50% correlated with winning and FactorB is 50% correlated with winning. Now for years general managers in this sport only ever knew that FactorA existed and when choosing how to build their team they only ever considered FactorA. Now let’s assume that in this idealist, yet uninformed about FactorB, world every general manager of…

September 16, 2013
Read More >>

Are coaches any good at identifying defensive players?

A while back I came up with a stat which at the time I called LT Index which is essentially the percentage of a players teams ice time when leading that the player is on the ice for divided by the percentage of a players teams ice time when trailing that the player is on the ice for (in 5v5 situations and only in games in which the player played)….

September 14, 2013
Read More >>

Is success partly to blame for Dion Phaneuf’s and Mikhail Grabovski’s poor corsi last year?

I had first intended this to be a comment to Tyler Dellow’s investigation into Phaneuf and Grabovski shot totals for and against when they were on the ice together but once I started pulling numbers I decided it was important enough to have a post on its own and not get hidden in the comments somewhere. Go read Tyler’s post because it is a worthwhile read but he found that…

September 6, 2013
Read More >>