Jan 202013
 

The Leafs announced today that they have re-signed Joffrey Lupul to a 5 year contract extension at an average salary and cap hit of $5.25M/yr.  Some Leaf fans are a little dismayed at both the value and the term of the deal as many people seem to view Lupul as a second line winger with a defensive liability that should have been traded, not re-signed.  I won’t deny that Lupul is a defensive liability (though wingers generally have less impact on defense than centers or defensemen), but I will dispute the claim that he is a second line winger.

Last season I wrote an article pointing out that Lupul’s production was not an anomaly and that he has always been that good of a player. In it I showed that he made almost all of his line mates more productive offensively when they were skating with him than when they were not.  I also showed that Lupul’s even strength goal production had not increased dramatically last year.  I won’t reiterate that here as you can go read it if you want, but I just wanted to post one more chart.  This chart shows the top 20 players in terms of goal scoring rates (individual goals per 20 minutes of ice time) during 5v5 zone start adjusted play over the last 5 years (minimum 3000 minutes of ice time).

Rank Player G/20
1 SIDNEY CROSBY 0.272
2 ALEXANDER SEMIN 0.259
3 STEVEN STAMKOS 0.240
4 MARIAN GABORIK 0.234
5 ALEX OVECHKIN 0.234
6 BOBBY RYAN 0.210
7 RICK NASH 0.209
8 ILYA KOVALCHUK 0.207
9 JEFF CARTER 0.201
10 PATRICK SHARP 0.200
11 ALEX BURROWS 0.197
12 PHIL KESSEL 0.196
13 JOFFREY LUPUL 0.196
14 JONATHAN TOEWS 0.196
15 DANIEL SEDIN 0.196
16 JAROME IGINLA 0.195
17 JAMES NEAL 0.195
18 MATT MOULSON 0.195
19 MARIAN HOSSA 0.193
20 EVGENI MALKIN 0.191

Lupul sits right there in 13th spot right behind Kessel and just ahead of guys like Toews, D. Sedin, Neal, Hossa and Malkin. That’s not too shabby if you ask me and certainly worthy of a $5.25M/yr deal if you ask me. The reason for Lupul’s perceived performance increase last year is largely due to more ice time, and more PP ice time in particular, and not because of luck or a one year wonder type thing.

Update: Edited to indicate the chart uses 5 years of data, not just last season.

 

 

  One Response to “Lupul, one of leagues best scorers, re-signs with Leafs”

  1.  

    lupul is woth every penny he is exciting to watch

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