Making a Case for Redden

Ok, let me start by stating that Wade Redden is not worth $6.5M.  He may be never was and the contract (6 years, $39M) the Rangers gave Redden was one of the worst ever handed out in NHL history.  In part because he is not worth that and in part because there is no evidence that any other team had any interest in offering anything close to that amount so the Rangers were bidding against themselves and still paid well over market value.  But that isn’t the point of this article.  The point I want to make is that Redden

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Three keys to Maple Leafs Season

While I am not yet ready to make formal predictions on the upcoming season (that’ll come in a couple weeks) I believe that the Leafs have the potential to be a dramatically improved team and could/should contend for a playoff spot.  Last year was a disaster year for the Leafs and nothing went right for the team, at least until late in the season when the team seemed to come together a bit.  Here are the three keys to watch for during the Leafs upcoming season. Giguere/Gustavsson – The Leafs have suffered through several seasons of inconsistent and troubled goaltending,

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Player Evaluation Model Improvements

On Monday I outlined an all-encompassing player evaluation model that allows us to evaluate every forward, defenseman and goalie under the same methodology.  In short, the system compares how many goals are scored for and against while a player is on the ice and compares it to how many goals scored for/against one should expect based on the quality of his line mates and opposition.  That model, I believe, makes a reasonable attempt at evaluating a players performance, but it can be improved. The first method of improvement is to utilize the additional information we have about the quality of

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An All Encompassing Player Rating Model

One of my goals has always been to create a fair and true player evaluation model.  Myself and many others have attempted to do this to varying degrees of success.  The recent trend is to stray away from goals for and against type methodologies towards shot attempts for or against methodologies (i.e. corsi analysis).  One of the key reasons for doing so is to increase sample size to reduce errors in the evaluation including errors that might be associated with nothing more than pure luck.  There is merit to wanting to achieve this goal and to some extent looking at

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