Dec 182007
 

With so much parity in the league there is still a lot of movement in the rankings depite the season being ~40% complete. Detroit and Ottawa are fairly solidly in first and second spot but after those two teams it gets tight. The San Jose Sharks and Montreal Canadiens made big jumps this past week moving into 3rd and 4th spots from 8th and 10th respectively while Minnesota remains 5th to round out the top 5. Dropping in the standings, St. Louis fell from 3rd to 8th, Chicago fell from 6th to 13th, Nashville from 9th to 14th and the Rangers from 15th to 21st.

Rank 7 Days
Ago
Team AdjWinP SchedStr Power
Rank
1 1 Detroit 0.712 0.500 0.681
2 2 Ottawa 0.710 0.484 0.674
3 8 San Jose 0.594 0.497 0.583
4 10 Montreal 0.531 0.517 0.580
5 5 Minnesota 0.594 0.499 0.571
6 4 Vancouver 0.576 0.498 0.556
7 7 Columbus 0.500 0.531 0.554
8 12 Boston 0.562 0.494 0.553
9 3 St. Louis 0.533 0.517 0.550
10 11 Colorado 0.545 0.510 0.545
11 13 Calgary 0.485 0.524 0.525
12 23 Buffalo 0.516 0.503 0.525
13 6 Chicago 0.469 0.534 0.525
14 9 Nashville 0.467 0.531 0.518
15 14 Philadelphia 0.533 0.479 0.508
16 17 Dallas 0.530 0.492 0.506
17 16 Toronto 0.470 0.514 0.501
18 19 New Jersey 0.545 0.462 0.487
19 20 Carolina 0.515 0.475 0.480
20 18 NY Islanders 0.484 0.482 0.470
21 15 NY Rangers 0.484 0.477 0.465
22 21 Pittsburgh 0.453 0.499 0.464
23 22 Phoenix 0.468 0.496 0.458
24 24 Anaheim 0.429 0.507 0.430
25 28 Florida 0.424 0.481 0.407
26 29 Edmonton 0.338 0.533 0.383
27 25 Los Angeles 0.353 0.520 0.381
28 26 Atlanta 0.406 0.471 0.378
29 27 Tampa Bay 0.394 0.474 0.370
30 30 Washington 0.412 0.464 0.370

AdjWinP is a teams winning percentage when shootouts are considered ties and there are no points awarded for overtime losses
SchedStr is an indication of a teams relative difficulty of schedule
Power Rank is the teams expected winning percentage if team played all .500 teams

  3 Responses to “Power Rankings – Dec. 18, 2007”

  1.  

    David, you’re actually trying to measure how good a hockey team is at playing hockey with these power rankings.

    Unfortunately, the NHL doesn’t see it that way. They obnoxiously continue to award points for shootout wins and overtime losses.

    Based on these rankings, Edmonton is in the bottom 5 teams in the league. They very well may be that bad, too. But when all is said and done, Edmonton could make the playoffs with their freakish shootout record (10-1 as I write), and still be one of the worst teams at playing hockey.

    Perhaps this is the future evolution of the NHL: the league divides into two sets of teams: the top 8-12 which are good teams, and the rest of the league which can only make the playoffs by icing a team that’s extraordinarily good in shootouts. Thus the bottom playoff seeds will never contend, since they have to sign too many shootout specialists to be competitive with the top teams in the playoffs.

  2.  

    I don’t think over the long run a team has much more than a 3 to 2 edge in shootouts. Maybe the Stars do.

    But what you’re seeing here is some short-term luck.

  3.  

    […] NHL Power Rankings December 28, 2007 Don’t waste your time with newspaper standings. They’re point-based and are subject to distortion due to uneven number of games played. to distortion due to uneven number of games played.  Here is where you need to go to find where your team really stands and stacks up! […]

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