Nov 132007
 

This weeks story is about two young teams going in different directions. The Chicago Blackhawks led by Jonathan Toews and Patrick Kane have jumped into second spot with three big wins over highly ranked Columbus, Detroit and St. Louis while the Crosby and Malkin led Penguins have lost 4 straight and 6 of 7 in November to fall to 20th spot.

Rank 7 Days
Ago
Team AdjWinP SchedStr Power
Rank
1 1 Ottawa 0.844 0.524 0.860
2 13 Chicago 0.559 0.546 0.681
3 3 Montreal 0.594 0.542 0.679
4 10 Detroit 0.735 0.486 0.671
5 2 Carolina 0.676 0.490 0.624
6 12 NY Islanders 0.643 0.467 0.585
7 4 Columbus 0.559 0.501 0.569
8 5 Colorado 0.588 0.490 0.564
9 9 Boston 0.500 0.526 0.552
10 11 Toronto 0.444 0.565 0.546
11 8 St. Louis 0.500 0.521 0.541
12 7 Minnesota 0.625 0.472 0.535
13 14 NY Rangers 0.500 0.513 0.525
14 18 Vancouver 0.500 0.500 0.522
15 15 San Jose 0.556 0.478 0.514
16 23 Philadelphia 0.625 0.445 0.491
17 24 Nashville 0.529 0.472 0.466
18 17 Los Angeles 0.469 0.486 0.456
19 16 Calgary 0.382 0.517 0.443
20 6 Pittsburgh 0.389 0.526 0.437
21 26 New Jersey 0.441 0.485 0.430
22 19 Anaheim 0.389 0.491 0.394
23 20 Phoenix 0.438 0.467 0.394
24 22 Buffalo 0.375 0.519 0.391
25 21 Florida 0.361 0.491 0.374
26 27 Washington 0.353 0.502 0.368
27 29 Atlanta 0.353 0.498 0.359
28 25 Dallas 0.382 0.481 0.356
29 30 Tampa Bay 0.471 0.429 0.352
30 28 Edmonton 0.294 0.504 0.321

AdjWinP is a teams winning percentage when shootouts are considered ties and there are no points awarded for overtime losses
SchedStr is an indication of a teams relative difficulty of schedule
Power Rank is the teams expected winning percentage if team played all .500 teams

  7 Responses to “Power Rankings – Nov. 13, 2007”

  1.  

    no way does that Chicago ranking hold up

  2.  

    No way does that Ottawa ranking hold up (for the entire season) either.

    This unbalanced schedule thing makes for some skewed rankings if I do say so… hard to compare the conferences when the teams play each other never.

  3.  

    P.S. – Why am I not surprised the Leafs have faced the toughest schedule so far this season? Ottawa 4 times? Montreal 3? Rangers 2? That’s a lot to take on.

    Either way… Montreal, Chicago, the Isles, Boston, will all tail off to some extent I’d expect.

    Another thing, Carolina’s ranking must be making it to number 5 pretty easily when every other team in their division is in the bottom 6 teams in the conference. Again… unbalanced scheduling is ridiculous for the league.

  4.  

    Perhaps the leafs HAVE had a tough schedule. I also agree with Steve that the scheduling does need to go. But the schedule can’t be the reason why the leafs have the record they have. I don’t know how many back-up goalies the leafs faced, they could a much better record right now but I think they learned something saturday. There is no way Toronto can play a run and gun game with teams like Ottawa, Pitts, or NYR. but they need to trap up the neutral zone and let their big players battle along the boards. I use to bash McCabe a lot but wow, I really don’t think all the booing by the leaf fans were doing him any good. He played great on saturday and seemed to show why he’s making the $ he is. I’m sorry, Hall Gill played terrible and seems like he does more bad than good. Overall the strongest 3 teams in the east. A few predictions I have- Buffalo will catch fire and climb the ranks in the season. Montreal will eventually drop because if not for their pp, their a 6th-8th place team. Sens will stay hot and make a few key safes heading down the stretch. Leafs will have a few great games, but inconsistency will become a factor again, but they will fight for a playoff spot and will finish 7th-10th.

  5.  

    Overall the strongest 3 teams in the east- Ottawa Montreal Carolina. *

    key SAFES*= trades

  6.  

    The backup goalie thing is more nonense spewed by the Toronto media. They all talk about backups but they never take a second to look at how good those backups might be. Let’s look at some of those backups.

    Pittsburgh
    Dany Sabourin: 3-3-1, 2.18, .912
    Marc-Andre Fleury: 5-7-1, 3.47, .893
    Sabourin is having the better season.

    Atlanta:
    Johan Hedberg: 6-4-0, 3.24, .897
    Kari Lehtonen: 0-4-0, 4.48, .879
    Hedberg has better numbers.

    Florida:
    Craig Anderson: 0-2-1, 2.69, .904
    Tomas Vokoun: 8-10-0, 2.95, .908
    Not a significant difference.

    Chicago:
    Patrick Lalime: 4-2-0, 2.58, .891
    Nikolai Khabibulin: 7-6-1, 3.16, .892
    If anything Lalime has the edge.

    But what people don’t mention is the Leafs have played 8 games against Gerber(4), Huet(2), Lundqvist(1) and Thomas(1) and those 4 guys are all in the top 8 in the NHL in save % and all at or above .925 and all are in the top 9 in goals against average (Sabourin is too).

    The bottom 15 goalines in the NHL in goals against average are Auld, Fleury, Raycroft, Toskala, Hedberg, Roloson, Johnson, Khabibulin, Mason, Kipprusoff, Vokoun, Budaj, Hasek, Tellqvist, Turco and the Leafs have played only 1 game against them (Hedberg).

  7.  

    Overall the strongest 3 teams in the east- Ottawa Montreal Carolina.

    Don’t forget the Rangers. They might be the best of the bunch now that they are scoring a bit. They have the best goalie in the NHL and are 9-1 in their last 10 and 10-2 after a slow 2-5-1 start. Their revamped lineup is starting to come together and playing like a Stanley Cup contender.

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