Leafs Defence Doesn’t Suck

Note: I have produced a followup article to this one that corrects some small mistakes I made with respect to counting some PP goals as even strength goals, factors in shot type, and better deals with some biases that are present in the NHL statistics. Feel free to read the article below but be sure to also read the followup article which I would consider a much more reliable evaluation of defence and goaltending in the NHL. I don’t know how many gazillion times I have heard people say that the Leafs defence sucks big time and is the reason

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Don't read too much into Bettman's words

Yesterday Bettman had his state of the NHL press conference and two big topics were covered, or at least generated the most media interest. First is the sale of the Nashville Predators and whether they are going to move. Second is the possibility of an NHL team in Winnipeg. In both instances some in the media are misinterpreting what he said. First let’s talk about Nashville. He did his best to try to persuade everyone that the Predators are going to stay in Nashville talking extensively about how they have a 14 year lease and the city if it chooses

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Introducing stats.hockeyanalysis.com

I had been planning on doing this for a while but finally got around to it the past few days. I have set up a new subdomain at stats.hockeyanalysis.com where I am going to post all sorts of statistics. The first statistics are for the 2006-07 season and contain team goals for and against data for players while that player was on the ice. If you then click on a players name you can find out who that player has played with and against and how much ice time they played together or against each other. Also contained in the

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Stanley Cup Preview and Prediction

Ottawa at Anaheim Ottawa (road) Anaheim (home) Predicted Winner Anaheim (Some) Fair Odds +122 -129 Overall Record 48-25-9 48-20-14 Home/Road Record 23-12-6 26-6-9 Last 10 Games 6-2-2 5-3-2 Past Games None It cannot be argued that the Senators and Ducks have been the best teams in the eastern and western conferences these playoffs. The Senators made it to the Stanley Cup losing just 3 games and the Ducks lost just 4 on their route to the Cup and only a strong team in Detroit gave them any kind of challenge. So, the question becomes, which team is better. Well, during

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Prediction: Predators will struggle to make playoffs next season

As you have probably all heard by now, it seems Jim Basille (of RIM) is planning on buying the Nashville Predators. The thing is, Basille has very little interest in owning the Nashville Predators, he wants to own the Waterloo Blackberries (name made up by me). But this is where things get complicated regarding the Predators lease agreement on their arena. There seems to be an opt out clause in the lease if paid attendance averages under 14,000, but the city has the option of ‘topping’ up that number to 14,000 to ensure the team stays. Estimates on paid attendance

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It's time to abandon the Bettman Plan

For about 15 years the NHL has been doing everything it can to gain a larger American fan base. It moved two Canadian teams to the U.S. and rapidly expanded from 21 teams to 30 teams with the main purpose of bringing hockey to the U.S. south and becoming more of a national sport. There are now teams in Atlanta, Carolina, Miami, Tampa, Nashville, Dallas, Phoenix, Anaheim and San Jose and aside from maybe Dallas and San Jose, who have had some success, all have been relative failures in attracting significant numbers of new fans. The NHL has utilized glowing

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Random Playoff Thoughts

I have lived in Ottawa for almost 7 years now and during that time Senators fans have complained about two things, the rough physical play of the Leafs that resulted in many playoff failures and the boring defensive, wait for a mistake by the opponent, hockey of the New Jersey Devils. Surprisingly, I am not hearing many complaints now that the Senators have decided to play a more physical neutral zone trap, wait for turnovers and powerplays to attack style of game. If I were a Sabre’s fan, I would be furious at my team for not competing. Outside of

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Conference Finals predictions

Ottawa at Buffalo Ottawa (road) Buffalo (home) Predicted Winner Buffalo (Some) Fair Odds +118 -122 Overall Record 48-25-9 53-22-7 Home/Road Record 23-12-6 28-10-3 Last 10 Games 6-2-2 7-3-0 Past Games 2006/10/07: Buffalo 4 at Ottawa 3 2006/11/15: Ottawa 4 at Buffalo 2 2006/11/18: Buffalo 1 at Ottawa 4 2006/12/16: Ottawa 3 at Buffalo 1 2007/01/03: Buffalo 3 at Ottawa 6 2007/02/07: Ottawa 2 at Buffalo 3 2007/02/22: Ottawa 5 at Buffalo 6 (SO) 2007/02/24: Buffalo 5 at Ottawa 6 My Opinion: This is the first and will be the only divisional matchup of these playoffs but despite that fact it

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