Apr 032007
 
Rank Last Week Team AdjWinP SchedStr Power Rank
1 2 Detroit 0.639 0.511 0.640
2 1 Vancouver 0.596 0.524 0.632
3 5 San Jose 0.627 0.503 0.614
4 3 Nashville 0.608 0.511 0.614
5 4 Anaheim 0.620 0.507 0.612
6 9 Calgary 0.564 0.525 0.592
7 8 Buffalo 0.603 0.485 0.591
8 6 Minnesota 0.551 0.527 0.589
9 7 Dallas 0.582 0.511 0.586
10 10 Ottawa 0.614 0.480 0.585
11 11 Colorado 0.519 0.526 0.548
12 12 New Jersey 0.582 0.463 0.527
13 14 Montreal 0.513 0.489 0.511
14 15 Toronto 0.500 0.491 0.497
15 13 Carolina 0.525 0.472 0.492
16 16 Pittsburgh 0.544 0.463 0.487
17 17 Atlanta 0.506 0.474 0.480
18 19 Tampa Bay 0.487 0.475 0.458
19 20 NY Rangers 0.487 0.470 0.454
20 21 St. Louis 0.418 0.528 0.454
21 22 Florida 0.468 0.479 0.452
22 18 Edmonton 0.392 0.540 0.441
23 23 NY Islanders 0.455 0.474 0.432
24 24 Columbus 0.405 0.525 0.429
25 25 Boston 0.411 0.494 0.421
26 26 Chicago 0.391 0.526 0.417
27 27 Phoenix 0.353 0.532 0.391
28 29 Los Angeles 0.342 0.533 0.380
29 28 Washington 0.392 0.482 0.379
30 30 Philadelphia 0.301 0.483 0.296

AdjWinP is a teams winning percentage when shootouts are considered ties and there are no points awarded for overtime losses
SchedStr is an indication of a teams relative difficulty of schedule
Power Rank is the teams expected winning percentage if team played all .500 teams

Apr 012007
 

With the Rangers and Carolina winning tonight here is how the playoff race in the east looks right now and their games remaining.

6. NY Rangers (91) – atNYI, vsPTL, atPIT
7. Tampa Bay (90) – vsCAR, vsFLA, atATL
8. Montreal (88) – vsBOS, atNYR, atTOR
9. Toronto (87) – vsPHI, atNYI, vsMTL
10. Carolina (86) – atTB, vsATL, vsFLA
11. NY Islanders (84) – vsNYR, vsTOR, atPHI, atNJ

With so many teams still in the race and so games being played against each other and with the crazy 3 point games there are far too many scenarios to figure out how each of these teams can make or miss the playoffs but here are some of what each team needs to do to make the playoffs or what can happen for them to miss.

To get in the playoffs:

Rangers: One more win and they are in.
Tampa: 1-0-1 guarantees a playoff spot. 1-2-0 gets them a spot so long as Montreal doesn’t go 2-0-1 and Toronto goes 3-0-0.
Montreal: 2-0-1 and they are in.
Toronto: 3-0-0 and they are in so long as they defeat Montreal in regulation.
Carolina: Need to go 3-0-0 and get some help. Specifically, no more than 2 of the following can occur:
-Rangers get a win
-Tampa gets a win
-Montreal gets 2 wins
-Leafs go 3-0-0
Islanders: Need to go 4-0-0 and get some help. Specifically, no more than 2 of the following can occur:
-Rangers get a win
-Tampa gets a win
-Montreal gets 4 points
-Toronto goes 2-0-1 with the OTL in the game against the Islanders.

Teams will be out if:

Islanders: Lose any 2 games.
Carolina: Lose any 2 games or lose a single game with Montreal winning a game or Toronto winning 2 games or the Islanders going 3-0-1.
Toronto: Go winless or just win a single game with Montreal getting a single point.
Montreal: Go 0-3-0.
Tampa: Go 0-3-0 and 2 of the following occur:
-Montreal gets 3 points
-Toronto gets 4 points
-Carolina gets 5 points
-NY Islanders go 3-0-1
Rangers: Need to lose all 3 games and three of the following to occur:
-Tampa gets a point
-Montreal gets 3 points
-Toronto goes 2-0-1
-Carolina goes 3-0-0
-Islanders go 3-0-1

Apr 012007
 

If you browse through the stats at NHL.com you will find some strange things. Here are a few that I have found.

1. Alex Steen of the Leafs has a league best +24 on the road but has a horrific -17 at home which is good for 3rd worst in the NHL. That is quite the difference.

2. Boston has scored 76 goals in the first period, 66 in the second and a league low 58 in the third while they have given up 74 in the first, 92 in the second and a league high 102 in the third. Me thinks some more endurance conditioning might be needed.

3. If Sean Avery plays in the final 4 games for the Rangers he will have played 84 games this year.

4. Gary Roberts is the second oldest player in the league and is 8, 146 days older than teammate Jordan Staal, who is the youngest in the league.

5. Chris Chelios is 1, 569 days older than Gary Roberts.

6. The Vancouver Canucks have played in a league high 47 one goal games and have a 29-11-7 record. The Ottawa Senators have played in a league low 30 one goal games and have a 10-12-8 record in them.

7. Chicago has scored on just 9.1% of power play opportunities on home ice.

8. I’ve mentioned this before but it deserves mentioning again because it might earn the Lightning a playoff berth but Tampa goalies have a better save percentage in the shoot out (.936) than they do during the rest of the hockey game (league worst .884).