Scoring opportunities from turnovers
It seems that we as fans just love to lay blame on a variety of players for bad plays that lead to scoring opportunities and every team seems to have one or two players that fans seem to love to pick on. But is it really justified? In an attempt to find the answer to that I decided to take a look at every players giveaways and whether they led to a shot on goal, or worse yet, a goal. In order to eliminate as much of the bias that exists in the giveaway stat that results from game monitors in every city seemingly having a different definition of what a giveaway is, I decided to look only at road giveaways. It probably still isn’t perfect but will eliminate a lot of the problems with the giveaway stat. From there, I summed up how many shots and goals were scored within 8 seconds of the giveaway or until play stopped. Using 8 seconds is pretty arbitrary but seems like a reasonable amount of time to attribute negative results directly to the giveaway.
Let’s start off with the team results. The following table shows how many road giveaways each team committed, how many shots resulted from those turnovers and how many goals resulted from those shots. The table is sorted by shots.
For me I think there are a few surprises. The first is probably how few shots and goals seem to result from giveaways. The most any team has given up is 13 by Tampa which isn’t even one goal by a turnover every 3 games. Another surprise is New Jersey with 12 giveaway goals on only 40 shots. Brodeur is a great goalie but it seems he isn’t so good at making up for mistakes by the players in front of him. Another surprise is Philadelphia. Who’d have thought they would have given up the fewest shots on giveaways. The only thing I can think of is they never have the puck to give it away.
For the record, the save percentage for the above shots on goal is 0.838 which is a fair bit below typical save percentages.
The following table lists all 57 players whose giveaways have resulted in 5 or more shots on goal.
|10||PAUL RANGER||Tampa Bay||29||7||2|
|12||SCOTT HANNAN||San Jose||21||7||2|
|20||MICHAEL NYLANDER||NY Rangers||21||6||1|
|21||DAN BOYLE||Tampa Bay||41||6||2|
|25||CHRISTIAN EHRHOFF||San Jose||28||6||2|
|26||JONATHAN CHEECHOO||San Jose||24||6||2|
|27||PAUL MARA||NY Rangers||22||6||2|
|28||MIKE VAN RYN||Florida||23||6||2|
|36||JAROMIR JAGR||NY Rangers||69||5||0|
|37||DOUG JANIK||Tampa Bay||22||5||1|
|47||BRYCE SALVADOR||St. Louis||13||5||0|
|48||VILLE NIEMINEN||St. Louis||9||5||1|
|49||MATTHEW CARLE||San Jose||27||5||1|
|50||PATRICK RISSMILLER||San Jose||19||5||0|
|51||BRAD LUKOWICH||New Jersey||14||5||2|
|52||PATRIK ELIAS||New Jersey||25||5||0|
Well, looks like Chara is easily running away with the lead in this statistic with 13 shots given up on 61 turnovers. Otherwise, not a lot of surprises really. There are a lot of defensemen near the top of the list with probably makes sense since they are more likely to turn over the puck in their own zone and less likely to have someone else backing them up. They also get the most ice time so inherently should have more opportunities to give away the puck. It is also interesting that a few goalies made the list.