Second Round Predictions

Time for the second round predictions. Like the first round, the second round features some intriguing matchups and also like the first round, none of those match ups are divisional rivals. NY Rangers at Buffalo NY Rangers (road) Buffalo (home) Predicted Winner Buffalo (Good) Fair Odds +135 -155 Overall Record 42-30-10 53-22-7 Home/Road Record 21-15-5 28-10-3 Last 10 Games 7-2-1 7-3-0 Past Games 2006/10/14: NY Rangers 4 at Buffalo 7 2006/11/05: Buffalo 4 at NY Rangers 3 (OT) 2006/11/26: Buffalo 3 at NY Rangers 2 (OT) 2006/12/01: NY Rangers 3 at Buffalo 4 (SO) My Opinion: Buffalo has been my

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Eastern Conference first round predictions

When writing up these first round matchups I realized that not one of them features a divisional rivalry. I am too lazy to check but I am not sure that has ever happened before. Anyway, here are my eastern conference predictions. NY Islanders at Buffalo NY Islanders (road) Buffalo (home) Predicted Winner Buffalo (Good) Fair Odds +137 -159 Overall Record 40-30-12 53-22-7 Home/Road Record 18-17-6 28-10-3 Last 10 Games 6-3-1 7-3-0 Past Games 2006/10/26: Buffalo 3 at NY Islanders 0 2007/01/01: NY Islanders 1 at Buffalo 3 2007/01/27: Buffalo 3 at NY Islanders 5 2007/03/30: NY Islanders 4 at Buffalo

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Western conference first round predictions

Here are my first round predictions for the western conference. My eastern conference predictions will come later today. What is interesting about the western conference matchups is that the the home team has won every single game of each of the regular season series except for the final game of the San Jose-Nashville series in which Nashville won the game on the road in a shootout. That might lead you to believe that the home teams should win these series, but I wouldn’t be too eager to jump that that conclusion. For the most part, all the games were close

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Evaluating the various point schemes

I am one (of many I believe) of the people who totally despise the current point scheme where some games are worth 3 points and other games are worth 2 points. I also despise the fact that an individual skills competition (aka the shootout) is used to determine winners of games and which teams make or miss the playoffs or their relative playoff seeding. So lets take a look at, and evaluate, the various point systems that the NHL could used. 1. The current scheme. 2. The traditional scheme where a win gets you 2 points, a loss zero points

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Season Ending Power Rankings

Here are the seasons final power rankings and Detroit claims top spot. Rank Last Week Team AdjWinP SchedStr Power Rank 1 1 Detroit 0.646 0.508 0.640 2 3 San Jose 0.622 0.508 0.622 3 2 Vancouver 0.591 0.521 0.621 4 4 Nashville 0.616 0.510 0.619 5 5 Anaheim 0.622 0.508 0.616 6 9 Minnesota 0.567 0.524 0.598 7 6 Dallas 0.579 0.511 0.584 8 8 Buffalo 0.610 0.478 0.583 9 10 Ottawa 0.610 0.479 0.580 10 7 Calgary 0.537 0.527 0.568 11 11 Colorado 0.530 0.527 0.564 12 12 New Jersey 0.585 0.464 0.532 13 13 Montreal 0.506 0.486 0.501

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Goalies stealing or giving away games

One can look at team goals against average and save percentage to get an idea of how good or bad a teams goaltending is but I wanted to get a better idea of how much each team has been affected by good or bad goaltending. As a quick and easy way of doing this I defined as either of the following: a game in which the team scored 2 or fewer goals, allowed 30 or more shots and won a game in which the team scored 3 goals and allowed 35 or more shots and won. It is a pretty

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Should luck earn you a playoff spot?

I have heard and read several times the past few days about people thinking about what a joke it would be if the Canadiens and Leafs went to a shootout Saturday with the winner making the playoffs and the loser heading for the golf course. The underlying sentiment in this is that it just isn’t right that someones fate could be decided on the basis of a shootout. Now, because of last nights results the above Montreal-Toronto scenario won’t come to fruition, but a similar one could occur Sunday. There is a scenario where the Isles could need a win

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Three teams, one playoff spot.

With the Rangers win over Montreal both the Rangers and Lightning have clinched a playoff spot. The final playoff spot will come down to Toronto, Montreal and the Islanders. Montreal will get in if they beat Toronto Saturday. They will also get in if they get an OT loss and the Islanders don’t win both of their final games. Toronto gets in if they beat Montreal in regulation and the Islanders get no more than 2 points in their final 2 games. If the Islanders win both of their games they get in so long as the Canadiens don’t win

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Scoring opportunities from turnovers

It seems that we as fans just love to lay blame on a variety of players for bad plays that lead to scoring opportunities and every team seems to have one or two players that fans seem to love to pick on. But is it really justified? In an attempt to find the answer to that I decided to take a look at every players giveaways and whether they led to a shot on goal, or worse yet, a goal. In order to eliminate as much of the bias that exists in the giveaway stat that results from game monitors

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Carolina eliminated, nobody clinches

Tuesday’s results: Islanders 3, Rangers 2 (SO) Leafs 3, Flyers 2 (OT) Tampa 3, Carolina 2 Montreal 2, Boston 0 Updated Standings: 6. NY Rangers (92) – vsMTL, atPIT 7. Tampa Bay (92) – vsFLA, atATL 8. Montreal (90) – atNYR, atTOR 9. Toronto (89) – atNYI, vsMTL 10. NY Islanders (86) – vsTOR, atPHI, atNJ 11. Carolina (86) – vsATL, vsFLA (eliminated) To Get In: NY Rangers: A Rangers win or a Leafs loss (in regulation or OT) Tampa: A Tampa win or an OT loss, or a loss by the leafs (in regulation or OT) Montreal: Getting a

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