Feb 142007
 

It’s been a few weeks since I last posted my predicted final standings so I figured I should update them. In the west the playoff picture has cleared up a bit but in the east the playoff picture is as unclear as ever.

Eastern Conference Predicted Standings

Pos Team GP Pts Schedule Strength Future GP Future SchedStr Pred Pts Total Pts
1 Buffalo 57 80 0.473 25 0.467 35 115
2 New Jersey 56 74 0.460 25 0.439 34 108
3 Pittsburgh 55 67 0.458 26 0.473 30 97
4 Ottawa 57 67 0.481 24 0.464 29 96
5 Tampa Bay 58 66 0.466 24 0.480 26 92
6 Atlanta 59 67 0.467 22 0.477 24 91
7 Carolina 59 65 0.468 23 0.457 25 90
8 Montreal 58 64 0.484 23 0.463 26 90
9 NY Islanders 57 62 0.467 25 0.463 27 89
10 NY Rangers 56 61 0.468 26 0.458 28 89
11 Toronto 57 62 0.485 25 0.477 27 89
12 Boston 55 56 0.492 27 0.465 29 85
13 Florida 58 55 0.477 23 0.460 22 77
14 Washington 57 54 0.474 25 0.475 23 77
15 Philadelphia 56 38 0.477 26 0.485 17 55

Wow! Just 3 points separating 5th from 11th. Buffalo and New Jersey are all but guaranteed playoff spots while Pittsburgh and Ottawa are looking pretty safe so long as they can avoid and lengthy slumps. At the other end, Florida, Washington and Philadelphia can begin booking their tee times. But in the middle it is anyones guess who will get those final 4 playoff spots. Two weeks ago Montreal and Atlanta looked to be in pretty good shape but both of those teams have slumped significantly and now their playoff positions are in question while Toronto, Tampa and the Islanders have surged ahead to make things ultra interesting.

Western Conference Predicted Standings

Pos Team GP Pts Schedule Strength Future GP Future SchedStr Pred Pts TotalPts
1 Nashville 57 79 0.498 24 0.550 30 109
2 San Jose 55 73 0.513 25 0.512 33 106
3 Detroit 58 76 0.509 23 0.523 29 105
4 Anaheim 56 72 0.518 25 0.510 32 104
5 Dallas 56 70 0.524 25 0.506 32 102
6 Calgary 56 67 0.529 25 0.532 29 96
7 Vancouver 55 64 0.541 25 0.515 30 94
8 Minnesota 57 66 0.533 24 0.541 27 93
9 Edmonton 56 60 0.540 25 0.520 27 87
10 Colorado 55 58 0.538 26 0.540 27 85
11 St. Louis 57 53 0.536 24 0.535 22 75
12 Phoenix 57 52 0.527 25 0.562 21 73
13 Columbus 56 49 0.530 25 0.537 21 70
14 Chicago 55 49 0.522 25 0.554 20 69
15 Los Angeles 59 47 0.538 23 0.553 17 64

When I last posted the predicted standings Minnesota had a predicted 3 point lead on Edmonton and a 4 point lead on Colorado for the final playoff spot. Those leads have widened to 6 and 8 points. It is going to be real tough for the Oilers and Avalanche to earn a playoff spot now without one of the teams ahead of them slumping significantly as it would take a 16-8-1 record for Edmonton to finish with 93 points. Not impossible but highly unlikely considering they are only 4 points above .500 right now.

(Also posted on PredictHockey.com)

  One Response to “Predicted Standings – 2/14/2007”

  1.  

    Being that both New Jersey and Pittsburgh are in the same division, you cannot call these “standings” because it would be absolutely impossible for them to finish 2 and 3 in the East, which in turn pushes everyone down, but a Southeast team. You either have to account for that, or you need to call these something else like “Final Points Prediction,” but you cannot accurately call these “standings”.

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