A blast from the past

This may show my age here but I thought it might be interesting for everyone to see one of my first ventures into statistical analysis of hockey statistics. Back in March of 1996, the Leafs traded Darby Hendrickson, Sean Haggerty, Kenny Jonsson and a first round pick (turned out to be Roberto Luongo) to the Islanders for Wendel Clark, Mathieu Schneider and D.J. Smith. Clearly the first round pick and the lost chance at Roberto Luongo made this a bad trade but at the time Toronto media and especially Maple Leafs fans were outraged at the Leafs trading of young

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Game Predictions – 11/22/2006

A near full set of games tonight as only 2 teams aren’t in action (NY Rangers, Edmonton).  Despite that there aren’tmany real high quality games.  Toronto-Buffalo games are often quite interesting so that game might be good to watch and Dallas-Nashville should be quite good.  Atlanta-Washington has the potential to be good as both teams have some top end talent and good to great goaltending.  Vancouver-Detroit could provide some good hockey as well. Home Team Fair HTOdds Road Team Fair RTOdds Predicted Winner Confidence Buffalo -157 Toronto 136 Buffalo Good Philadelphia 138 Ottawa -163 Ottawa Good Washington -106 Atlanta 106

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NHL Power Rankings – 11/21/2006

Here are this weeks Power Rankings. Teams moving up include Carolina (6 to 3), Montreal (7 to 4), Calgary (17 to 9), Boston (18 to 11), Islanders (20 to 16), and Ottawa (24 to 20). Teams falling include Nashville (10 to 13), Toronto (11 to 14), Minnesota (5 to 15), Tampa (15 to 19), and Vancouver (16 to 21). Rank Last Week Team AdjWinP SchedStr Power Rank 1 2 Buffalo 0.725 0.526 0.731 2 1 Detroit 0.684 0.488 0.699 3 6 Carolina 0.591 0.547 0.685 4 7 Montreal 0.605 0.522 0.622 5 3 San Jose 0.714 0.461 0.611 6 4

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The Goalie Dilemma in Ottawa

This past summer the Ottawa Senators decided to make a statement in the free agent market by signing Martin Gerber to a 3 year, $3.7 million per year contract hopefully ending all of their goaltending issues they seem to have always had. I didn’t like the deal at the time and next summer we will all find out why. The Senators have about $34.5 million in salary cap space already committed to 13 players. If we assume that the salary cap remains at $44 million (it may even drop), that leaves about $8 million to spend on 8-9 players and

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Game Predictions – 11/21/2006

Just 3 games tonight but with a potentially very good game in the east and two marquis matchups out west tonight is a good night to make a hockey night. Here in the east we have the New York Rangers facing the Carolina Hurricanes. Both of these teams have had their ups and downs so far this year but both are potentially elite eastern conference teams. And out west we have one of the best rivalries going as Calgary faces Edmonton as well as a battle between two of the top teams in the NHL as San Jose visits Anaheim.

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Game Predictions -11/20/2006

Here are the game predictions for tonights games. I was a little surprised that Ottawa came out the predicted winner over Minnesota but hey, the algorithm knows better than me. The rest are pretty much as expected. Home Team FairHTOdds Road Team FairRTOdds Predicted Winner Confidence Boston -144 Florida 130 Boston Good Buffalo -258 Tampa Bay 161 Buffalo Strong Philadelphia 133 Pittsburgh -149 Pittsburgh Good Columbus 145 Nashville -183 Nashville Strong Toronto -125 NY Islanders 120 Toronto Some Ottawa -112 Minnesota 111 Ottawa Some Dallas -177 Colorado 143 Dallas Good

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Game Predictions – 11/18/2006

As usual for Saturady night we have a full slate of games and several of them should be quite good. First off, you can probably skip the afternoon game between Phoenix and Los Angeles. Not too much exciting about that. The rematch between Buffalo and Ottawa could be good though. The game on Wednesday was quite entertaining and it will be interesting to see if Ottawa comes out playing hard again after another loss last night to the Devils. Carolina-Dallas should be a good interconference game as Carolina is a top team in the east and Dallas is a top

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Game Predictions – 11/17/2006

 Here are the predictions for tonights games.  Ottawa is up against a tough New Jersey to see if they can continue the process of breaking out of their slump.  For an interconference game the Altanta-Dallas game should be a good one as both teams are talented teams.  And in the west, we have the battle of the streaks as 5 game winning streak on the line against Detroit who is on a 9 game winning streak.  This should be an interesting game though I am not sure you should expect a lot of goals.  Both teams have allowed just 2

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Game Predictions – 11/16/2006

   Wow.  What a night last night.  Four of the bottom 5 teams in the east won and 3 of them defeated one of the top 5 or 6 teams in the league.  Quite a night for significant upsets.  Here are the predictions for tonights games.  To too many real important or exciting rivalry games.  Toronto-Boston might be good and Minnesota-Nashville should be good but I really can’t get too excited over Chicago-Phoenix. Home Team Fair HTOdds Road Team Fair RTOdds Predicted Winner Confidence Boston 124 Toronto -133 Toronto Good Florida -124 Montreal 119 Florida Some Nashville 114 Minnesota -116

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