Revised Player Rankings

A few weeks ago I posted my initial work on developing a player rankings system which got mixed reviews among the more theoretically-based, statistically minded crowd. I am still not going to go down the road of applying pure statistical theory to developing a ranking system (such as what Javageek is doing) but I have significantly rejigged my algorithm and also incorporated powerplay and penalty killing time into the process and I think I have come up with some fairly good player rankings. I have decided not to divulge the secrets of my player ranking algorithm but I have decided

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NHL Predictions – 11/30/2006

We have a pretty full schedule of games tonight though none of them I would call being good rivalry games. Atlanta-Toronto could be interesting as they had some animosity going towards each other last year. Toronto has also had a lot of success against the Thrashers to Atlanta being designated the favourite by the algorithm might not be the best choice. In a very tight northwest division (all teams within 4 points of each other) the Edmonton-Colorado game becomes a fairly important game as well. Home Team FairHTOdds Road Team FairRTOdds Predicted Winner Confidence Boston -126 Tampa Bay 121 Boston

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NHL Predictions – 11/29/2006

Just 3 games on the NHL schedule tonight but none of the three I would call must watch hockey. Minnesota-San Jose could be a good game but Minnesota has struggled a bit lately. Philadelphia-Nashville and Chicago-Dallas aren’t anything I can get too excited about. Home Team FairHTOdds Road Team FairRTOdds Predicted Winner Confidence Philadelphia 130 Nashville -143 Nashville Good Minnesota -131 San Jose 124 Minnesota Good Chicago 138 Dallas -162 Dallas Strong

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NHL Power Rankings – 11/28/2006

Despite being past the quarter point in the NHL season we are still seeing quite a bit of change in the Power Rankings. This week we have a couple of big movers in each direction. The big risers are the New York Islanders from 16th to 8th, Tampa Bay (19th to 13th) and New York Rangers (23rd to 15th). Teams falling are Detroit (2nd to 7th), Calgary (9th to 18th) and Washington (17th to 22nd). It seems there is a lot of parity in the NHL this year and if you are a team ranked in the #8 to low

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Game Predictions – 11/28/2006

After a couple of light schedule days we have a fairly full schedule tonight with 10 games to be played. The games I would keep an eye on are Ottawa-Carolina, Toronto-Boston, and the return of Chris Pronger to Edmonton. Home Team FairHTOdds Road Team FairRTOdds Predicted Winner Confidence NY Rangers -110 Atlanta 109 Atlanta Some Pittsburgh 100 NY Islanders -100 NY Islanders Some Carolina -153 Ottawa 134 Carolina Good Toronto -129 Boston 122 Toronto Some Montreal -181 Florida 145 Montreal Strong Tampa Bay -149 Washington 133 Tampa Bay Good St. Louis 151 San Jose -205 San Jose Strong Calgary -140

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Game Predictions – 11/27/2006

Just 2 games on the schedule today as the slumping Red Wings take on Dallas and a struggling Devils team tries to salvage something out of their west coast swing. Home Team FairHTOdds Road Team FairRTOdds Predicted Winner Confidence Detroit -118 Dallas 115 Detroit Some Los Angeles 101 New Jersey -101 New Jersey Some

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Game Predictions – 11/24/2006

Ok, so last nights game turned out to be a dud with Vancouver not really showing up to play, but we have 12 games on the go tonight so hopefully a few turn out to be good. The games I think have the most potential for quality entertaining hockey are New Jersey at Anaheim, Buffalo at Montreal. and Atlanta at Tampa. We also have battle of the cellar dwellers tonight as Philadelphia is taking on Columbus which also features Ken Hitchcock coaching his first game for the Blue Jackets againt the team that fired him about a month ago. Home

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The Leafs Game Plan for the Future

So the higher powers at MLSE have given Maple Leaf GM John Ferguson Jr. a luke warm vote of confidence by picking up his option for the 2007-08 season with some indication they will negotiate an extension next spring. So, assuming JFJ gets to keep his job, what are his challenges for the upcoming year. It appears that the Leafs are set in goal for a long time with Andrew Raycroft signed through 2008-09 season and Justin Pogge on the horizon. They also appear to be set on defense with McCabe, Kaberle, Kubina and Gill all signed to long term

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