Game Predictions – 10/20/2006

Before I say anything else about these predictions let me first say that you should still take these with a grain of salt or two. It is still very early in the season and since these predictions take into account a teams record and the records of the teams they have played and most teams have only played ~6 games there isn’t a lot of track record to go by. That said, there were still reasonably reliable early last season.

Since this is the fist time posting I should explain what everything means. Home team, Road team and Predicted winner are obvious. The confidence is an indicator of how strong the prediction is and an indicator of its likelihood of coming true. Possible confidence levels are Some, Good and Strong. Early in the season you will likely find a lot of Strongs but they should reduce over time as the algorithms predictions have more historic results to work with and the predictions get more refined.

HTOdds and RTOdds are a bit of betting advice and are an indicatator of the odds or money line I would look for if I were betting on the game. HTOdds are for the home team and RTOdds are for the road team. Note that sometimes the odds indicate a favourite that differs from the predicted outcome. This is because they are calculated slightly differently. It doesn’t happen too often but it does happen.

So with all that said, here are tonights predictions. I am going to be keeping track of these predictions in my NHL Pick-em pool so if you want to see how they are doing check out the pool standings.

Home Team Fair
Road Team Fair
Predicted Winner Confidence
Columbus -233 Toronto 157 Columbus Strong
Florida -548 Philadelphia 181 Florida Strong
Buffalo -110 Carolina 109 Buffalo Some
St. Louis 159 Vancouver -246 Vancouver Strong
Dallas -224 Chicago 155 Dallas Strong
Anaheim 118 Minnesota -123 Minnesota Strong

This article has 4 Comments

  1. Yeah, you can post them here since they will get some discussion going though you can also open an account and post them in the nhlpickem game as well since it will keep track of your won-loss record for you.

    There is also the ability to comment on individual games there too but I am not sure how much it will get used. I’d like to clean up some of it to make the user interface and navigation a bit better. But probably not in the near future as I have other stuff to do with higher priority.

  2. Hi all! Good start of, I hope, an interesting season. Is STL going to win all games against VAN in this season and to kick-off them from play-off for the second stright season? David, nice pool, I can see your prediction by click on your nick name, which is Krusher55 I guess, but how can I understand which was correct and which was not? I like to see results under my nick, because they are in different colors. Also, interesting to compare how many percent of predictions was right, since I’m also going to post prediction of my algorithm. Cheers.

  3. Keif: As I said, I am still tweaking the UI and I agree that it would be nice to see the results of the games on the “Show Predictions” page if the games have been completed. I’ll add it to my growing todo list. 🙂

    Yes, my predictions are listed as Krusher55 and the algorithms predictions are listed under HockeyAnalysisAlgorithm.

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