The need for a Player Ranking System

Hockey is, maybe more than any other sport, a team sport. A hitter in baseball can be evaluated based on a series of one on one battles with pitchers which are largely independent of the ability of the hitters teammates. In hockey this is not the case. Jaromir Jagr may be a great goal scorer but if he didn’t have quality teammates around him the number of goals he scores would be significantly impacted. A great defensive play by Marek Malik causing a turnover in the defensive zone followed by a great breakout pass might be just as important in

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NHL Power Rankings 10/31/2006

Here are this weeks NHL Power Rankings. As one might expect, the western conference teams still dominate the top rankings. Clearly the western conference has been better so far and has more top teams than the east. Rank Last Week Team AdjWinP SchedStr Power Rank 1 3 Anaheim 0.818 0.571 0.861 2 2 Minnesota 0.682 0.602 0.858 3 8 Detroit 0.591 0.583 0.765 4 4 Dallas 0.773 0.543 0.757 5 1 San Jose 0.667 0.548 0.733 6 12 Buffalo 0.818 0.454 0.717 7 6 Vancouver 0.583 0.562 0.678 8 5 Edmonton 0.636 0.551 0.671 9 10 Colorado 0.455 0.611 0.600

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Game Predictions 10/31/3006

Four games on schedule tonight with a couple of pretty interesting ones. The Ottawa-Montreal game is on I think is worth watching. Ottawa got off to a pretty slow start to the season scoring 10 goals in their first 6 games, then they went on fire scoring 21 goals in 3 games only to score 1 goal against Boston on the weekend. Which team is going to show up tonight? The other interesting game is out west where Nashville visits Vancouver. I am a bit surprised that Vancouver is listed as a strong favourite because Nashville had been outstanding after

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Game Preductions – 10/30/2006

Five games on the schedule tonight with the algorithm picking the road team in 4 games. Should be interesting to see how those predictions pan out as home teams generally win more games. Home Team FairHTOdds Road Team FairRTOdds Predicted Winner Confidence Philadelphia 143 Chicago -175 Chicago Good Toronto 112 Atlanta -114 Atlanta Some St. Louis 157 Anaheim -233 Anaheim Strong Calgary 123 Washington -130 Washington Good Los Angeles -158 NY Rangers 137 Los Angeles Good

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Game Predictions – 10/29/2006

Just two games on the schedule today. The first is an interconference game featuring the San Jose Sharks and the Tampa Bay Lightning and the seond is a divisional game featuring the Minnesota Wild and Colorado Avalanche. Like the algorithm predicts, I like San Jose and Minnesota. Home Team FairHTOdds Road Team FairRTOdds Predicted Winner Confidence Tampa Bay 155 San Jose -225 San Jose Strong Colorado 137 Minnesota -159 Minnesota Strong

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NHL Game Predictions – 10/28/2006

In my opinion the biggest game of the night is Atlanta at Buffalo. In my mind these have been the two best teams in the east so far this year as Buffalo is 10-0-0 (3 shootout wins) and Atlanta is 7-1-3 (2 shootout losses, 1 win). Both teams feature top tier young NHL goalies and underrated somewhat nameless (unknown) defenses. Both teams can score goals too with Atlanta having more top end talent with Kovalchuk and Hossa and Buffalo having more depth. Should be a fun game to watch and a good test game for both teams, particularly Atlanta who

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NHL Predictions 10/27/2006

It’s a western conference night tonight as the only eastern conference team in action is the Washington Capitals who are in Vancouver to face the Canucks. This should be a fun game to watch as Washington is off to a pretty good start (3-2-3) and seemingly aren’t the horrible team they were last year. Two of the other games feature four of the top teams in the west as Detroit visits Dallas and Anaheim visits Minnesota. The other game features a weak Los Angeles team facing a Columbus team who many expected to be better this season but is off

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NHL Predictions 10/26/2006

We have 8 games on schedule tonight. The games I think will be the most interesting are: Toronto at Ottawa – This game should be a fun game to watch. Toronto will be seeking revenge for a 6-2 loss on Tuesday while Ottawa will be seeking revenge for a Darcy Tucker attack on Patrick Eaves and a Chad Kilger stick attack on Christolf Shubert. Speaking of Tuesdays games, whats with the refs? I enjoyed the added physical play but there were tons of partial hooks and trips that would have been called for penalties in most other games. Not that

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NHL Power Rankings – 10/25/2006

I debated whether I should post these power rankings or not because on the surface they don’t seem to make any sense. How could 9-0 Buffalo be ranked 12th overall? But finally I decided that I would post them with some explanation of what we are seeing. First off, you will notice that the western conference teams dominate the top 10 or so positions. The reason for this is because the western confernce has a dominant record (14-5-3) against the eastern conference and since strength of schedule is a significant factor in the algorithm to calculate these power rankings most

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Game Predictions – 10/25/2006

Some of the games you should keep an eye on tonight are: Atlanta vs Carolina: These two teams look like they might battle for top spot in the division. Should be a fun game too as both teams are entertaining to watch. San Jose at Detroit: Detroit needs to figure out if they are a contending team or a step below. Games such as this one against other top western conference teams will help determine which they are. Edmonton at Anaheim: Rematch of last years western conference finals and the return of Joffrey Lupul to his former home in Anaheim.

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