End of Season Power Rankings

By on April 19th, 2006

Here are the end of season NHL Power Rankings. Though Ottawa’s Power Rank has dropped a bit in recent weeks they managed to hold on to top spot which they have held on for the whole season. At the other end of the spectrum, the St. Louis Blues eeked out the Penguins for the bottom of the list which these two teams battled for for much of the season.

To get an idea of which teams are going into the playoffs on a hot streak, instead of the usual ‘last week’ column I am including each teams rank at the Olympic break. Big gainers since the Olympic break include Anaheim (16th to 7th), Toronto (15th to 10th), Montreal (17th to 12th), San Jose (10th to 6th), and New Jersey (22nd to 18th). Big droppers included Minnesota (12th to 20th), Vancouver (7th to 14th), Colorado (2nd to 8th),and Edmonton (9th to 13th).

Rank Olympic Break Team AdjWinP SchedStr Power Rank
1 1 Ottawa 0.659 0.495 0.652
2 5 Buffalo 0.634 0.497 0.634
3 3 Detroit 0.701 0.477 0.629
4 4 Calgary 0.598 0.511 0.606
5 6 Dallas 0.579 0.516 0.600
6 10 San Jose 0.573 0.516 0.597
7 16 Anaheim 0.549 0.518 0.574
8 2 Colorado 0.543 0.515 0.562
9 8 Carolina 0.598 0.476 0.550
10 15 Toronto 0.524 0.506 0.542
11 11 Nashville 0.579 0.486 0.542
12 17 Montreal 0.518 0.506 0.540
13 9 Edmonton 0.512 0.517 0.537
14 7 Vancouver 0.506 0.518 0.532
15 13 Los Angeles 0.482 0.524 0.517
16 14 Philadelphia 0.561 0.472 0.513
17 20 Phoenix 0.457 0.526 0.496
18 22 New Jersey 0.530 0.474 0.492
19 19 Tampa Bay 0.512 0.482 0.488
20 12 Minnesota 0.451 0.522 0.485
21 18 NY Rangers 0.518 0.475 0.482
22 24 Atlanta 0.500 0.482 0.481
23 25 Florida 0.457 0.486 0.446
24 21 Boston 0.390 0.517 0.426
25 26 Columbus 0.396 0.500 0.397
26 23 NY Islanders 0.402 0.484 0.390
27 28 Washington 0.348 0.495 0.351
28 27 Chicago 0.341 0.505 0.347
29 30 Pittsburgh 0.299 0.492 0.300
30 29 St. Louis 0.280 0.510 0.292

AdjWinP is a teams winning percentage when shootouts are considered ties and there are no points awarded for overtime losses
SchedStr is an indication of a teams relative difficulty of schedule
Power Rank is the teams expected winning percentage if team played all .500 teams

For interest sake here are each teams Power Ranking if we only consider games played after the Olympic break. This should give an indication of who is going into the playoffs playing good hockey. As one might expect, Detroit, Anaheim and San Jose are at the top of the list. Despite a slump in April, a superb March allowed Ottawa to finish 4th. The New York Rangers who dropped to 6th seed in the east last night are the worst ranked playoff team since the Olympic break coming in a lowly 26th. Colorado (24th) needs to end a post-Olympic slide if they want to go anywhere in the playoffs as well. The top non-playoff team is Toronto which is ranked 7th since the Olympics and who ended the season as one of the hottest teams in the league with a 9-1-2 record in their last 12 games. In the end the Leafs only needed to beat Montreal once in those back 2 back losses March 23rd and 25th. Both those games featured bad goaltending by Tellqvist.

Rank Last Week Team AdjWinP SchedStr Power Rank
1 2 Detroit 0.740 0.496 0.705
2 1 Anaheim 0.640 0.530 0.702
3 3 San Jose 0.673 0.506 0.674
4 5 Ottawa 0.615 0.499 0.628
5 12 Buffalo 0.615 0.498 0.618
6 4 Dallas 0.562 0.528 0.604
7 9 Toronto 0.600 0.497 0.599
8 11 New Jersey 0.646 0.476 0.593
9 6 Phoenix 0.500 0.545 0.591
10 7 Montreal 0.635 0.476 0.568
11 15 Florida 0.580 0.484 0.552
12 8 Calgary 0.580 0.479 0.534
13 19 Nashville 0.583 0.484 0.527
14 14 Philadelphia 0.500 0.498 0.517
15 10 Atlanta 0.583 0.468 0.512
16 16 Columbus 0.479 0.520 0.502
17 22 Edmonton 0.521 0.480 0.481
18 18 Tampa Bay 0.417 0.519 0.473
19 17 Carolina 0.500 0.477 0.462
20 21 Los Angeles 0.409 0.525 0.446
21 23 Chicago 0.380 0.540 0.441
22 24 Washington 0.423 0.492 0.428
23 26 Pittsburgh 0.391 0.513 0.426
24 13 Colorado 0.478 0.472 0.421
25 27 Vancouver 0.348 0.524 0.388
26 20 NY Rangers 0.396 0.487 0.383
27 25 NY Islanders 0.346 0.499 0.358
28 28 Minnesota 0.326 0.486 0.317
29 29 Boston 0.229 0.545 0.288
30 30 St. Louis 0.250 0.506 0.262

AdjWinP is a teams winning percentage when shootouts are considered ties and there are no points awarded for overtime losses
SchedStr is an indication of a teams relative difficulty of schedule
Power Rank is the teams expected winning percentage if team played all .500 teams

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