Where are the additional goals coming from?

Jame Mirtle has an interesting post regarding the increase in offense from 2003-04 to this season and where the goals came from. James concludes: It’s also no wonder Gary Bettman wants to keep the number of penalties called per game high for the postseason — without the increased scoring generated on the power play, the notion of a radically transformed, higher-scoring (read: better) league goes up in smoke. Now, as much as I love bashing Gary Bettman digging deeper into the numbers will bring out a different picture. According to James, power play goals have increased 48.2%, short handed goals

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Beyond the first round

The last couple days I posted my predictions on the first round matchups. So, before the games begin, let me post my predicitons for the rest of the playoffs. Conference Semi-finals Buffalo defeats Ottawa New Jersey defeats Carolina San Jose defeats Detroit Calgary defeats Dallas Conference Finals New Jersey defeats Buffalo Calgary defeats San Jose Stanley Cup New Jersey defeats Calgary Playoff MVP: Brian Gionta: 18 goals, 34 points After round 1 the predictions get quite difficult. I think any of the four teams in east or west could make it to the finals. I am predicting that Dominik Hasek

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Eastern Conference Playoff Predictions

Here are my eastern conference predictions. I really hate taking all the favourites but aside from an outside chance of Montreal upsetting Carolina I just can’t see any of the other underdogs winning barring unexpected key injuries. Just a note: The predictions are my predictions, not my algorithms. I am retiring the algorithm for the season as I don’t think it makes sense to use in the playoffs. I also likely won’t be making predictions on every game since it is really the series that matters. I may post some comments each day on the previous nights results and that

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Western Conference First Round Playoff Preview

Today and tomorrow I am going to post my first round playoff previews/predictions. Here are the western conference preview and tomorrow I’ll post my eastern conference preview. Detroit vs Edmonton Season Series November 3: Edmonton 4 at Detroit 3 (OT) November 17: Detroit 5 at Edmonton 6 (OT) March 18: Detroit 4 at Edmonton 3 (SO) April 11: Edmonton 0 at Detroit 2 These two teams matched up fairly well during the regular season with both teams wining 2 games and 3 of the games going to overtime. If that sort of thing happens in the playoffs we are in

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End of Season Power Rankings

Here are the end of season NHL Power Rankings. Though Ottawa’s Power Rank has dropped a bit in recent weeks they managed to hold on to top spot which they have held on for the whole season. At the other end of the spectrum, the St. Louis Blues eeked out the Penguins for the bottom of the list which these two teams battled for for much of the season. To get an idea of which teams are going into the playoffs on a hot streak, instead of the usual ‘last week’ column I am including each teams rank at the

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Game Predictions – 4/18/2006

Last nights results cleared a few things up. The west first round playoff matches are now all determined. Detroit will play Edmonton, Dallas will play Colorado, Calgary will play Anaheim and Nashville will play San Jose. I’ll post my thoughts on these series most likely tomorrow. In the east we still don’t know too much other than the 8 teams who will make the playoffs and that Buffalo will finish in the 4th seed. Things that need to be cleared up tonight are: Ottawa/Carolina – Which of these teams will get the top seed. Ottawa needs to beat the Rangers

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The Leafs: A story of 18 games

Now that the Leafs have been officially eliminated from the playoffs it is once again time that those in the media, and to a somewhat lesser extent those in the blogosphere, try they hand coming up with reasons why they sucked so bad this year, why Pat Quinn and John Ferguson Jr. should be fired and why at least half the players should not return next year. As usual, I am going to take a different tact but starting with the claim that no, the Leafs didn’t suck this year. In fact, the Leafs were/are a pretty good team. And

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Game Predictions – 4/17/2006

The game to watch tonight is Atlanta at Washington. This is a must win for Atlanta as a loss means golf next weekend, not playoff hockey for the Thrashers. I can’t see the Thrashers losing this game. The only thing not decided in the west is whetherAnaheim finishes in 6th and Colorado in 7th or Colorado in 6th and Anaheim in 7th. That makes the Colorado-Edmonton and Calgary-Anaheim games somewhat meaningful though I am not sure the difference between playing Dallas and Calgary is that significant that it really matters whether you get 6th spot or 7th spot. What might

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Game Predictions 4/16/2006

With Toronto being eliminated last night none of the games today mean a whole lot though the New Jersey-Philadelphia game is important for playoff positioning as the Rangers, Flyers and Devils all still have a shot at the division title and it also has the potential to be a first round matchup preview. Home Team FairHTOdds Road Team FairRTOdds Predicted Winner Confidence New Jersey -161 Philadelphia 138 New Jersey Good Buffalo -139 Toronto 128 Buffalo Good Chicago -103 Columbus 103 Columbus Some St. Louis 126 Phoenix -135 Phoenix Good

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Game Predictins – 4/15/2006

Todays games will either tell us who will make the playoffs in the east or else we will be in for some interesting hockey over the next couple of days. Tampa has a 3 point edge over Atlanta and 4 points over Toronto. with Tampa likely winning any tie breakers against either team the magic number for Toronto is 2 and Atlanta is 3. Any combination of Tampa points or Toronto lost points totalling 2 or more and Tampa beats out Toronto. Any combination of Atlanta lost points and Tampa earned points totalling 3 or more and Tampa is in.

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