Game Predictions – 3/23/2006

There are several very importang games on the schedule tonight. In the Eastern conference there are 3 games with 5 of the 6 teams participating in a tight battle for the last few playoff spots while the 2 of the 4 western conference games have some importance relating to who will get the last couple playoff spots. Atlanta-New Jersey – New Jersey currently sits in 7th spot 2 points ahead of 8th place Atlanta and 3 points ahead of 9th place Montreal. A win and the Devils put some separation between themselves and the chase pack once again, a loss

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NHL Power Rankings – March 22, 2006

There hasn’t been a lot of change in the NHL power rankings from last week as Montreal was the only team to move up or down 3 spots as they dropped from 14th to 17th. Only 2 teams moved 2 spots as well with Florida moving from 25th to 23rd and the NY Islanders doing the reverse dropping to 25th from 23rd. No one else moved more than a single position. Rank Last Week Team AdjWinP SchedStr Power Rank 1 1 Ottawa 0.713 0.485 0.678 2 3 Detroit 0.691 0.487 0.641 3 2 Buffalo 0.657 0.485 0.629 4 5 Dallas

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Game Predictions – 3/22/2006

I made some minor changes into the output of my game prediction algorithm which hopefully will clear up some of the confusion surrounding the HTOdds column I had. I now have 2 columns listed, Fair HTOdds and Fair RTOdds and these represent what I would consider to be fair odds if you were to bet on one of these teams. For example, the Fair HTOdds for Buffalo is -188 so if I were looking to bet on Buffalo to win I would ideally be looking for odds better than -188. The odds for Buffalo at Bowmans is currently -135 so

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Game Predictions – 3/21/2006

With so many teams in the playoff race every night seems to have a bunch of games having very significant playoff implications. Tonight is no different. The biggest might be the NY Islanders vs Montreal but Boston-Atlanta and Toronto-Carolina also have a significance in the eastern conference playoff race, especially if the Islanders beat Montreal. In the west Vancouver and Edmonton play the first game of 3 straight games against each other. Vancouver has an interesting schedule as almost all of their remaining games are against teams they are competing for for the final few playoff spots. Their remaining schedule

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Game Predictions – 3/20/2006

Although the past couple of days have been a bit mediocre for game predictions, the past week has been quite good overall as I went 33 for 48 or 68%. Here are the updated success rates adjusted from last week to retroactively fix the bug I found which incorrectly assigned confidence levels to some games. These numbers are indicative of what you might expect in the future though I would really like to see the Strong substantially higher and the good a bit higher. Strong: 33 of 51 – 64.7% Good: 48 of 77 – 62.3% Some: 77 of 131

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Game Predictions – 3/19/2006

Apparently there was a problem and these didn’t get posted earlier. So here there are minus all the commentary that I wrote which got lost. Home Team Road Team Predicted Winner Confidence HTOdds Chicago Phoenix Phoenix Some 112 Tampa Bay NY Islanders Tampa Bay Some -139 Columbus Anaheim Anaheim Good 120 Minnesota Calgary Minnesota Good -143 New Jersey Ottawa New Jersey Some -112 Pittsburgh Toronto Toronto Good 129 San Jose Colorado Colorado Some 117 Vancouver Detroit Vancouver Good -148

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Game Predictions – 3/18/2006

We’ve been having a pretty good week for game predictions and it continued last night as my predictions were a perfect 4 for 4. Let’s hope it continues tonight. Before we get to the predictions I have 2 announcements, one related to a small bug I found in my program which incorrectly assigned strong/good/some confidence ratings to some games and the second a new feature added to the prediction table to aid in betting. 1. I found a small bug in my program which incorrectly assigned confidence ratings to some games though the predicted winner was correct. Games in which

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Updated Predicted Standings

Here are the updated predictions of the final standings which are based on how each team has performed so far and their strength of schedule and the difficulty of their remaining schedule. Changes since last update on March 13 include: -New Jersey moving back into 6th spot with a 3 point lead over 7th place Montreal -Montreal holds just a 1 point lead over Tampa while Atlanta has closed the gap on Tampa -Edmonton moves from 9th to 6th -Los Angeles falls from 7th to 9th -Vancouver and San Jose flip positions with San Jose now predicted to finish in

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Game Predictions – 3/17/2006

Just 4 games on the schedule tonight but all having playoff race importance. In the east you have the Islanders playing Florida and Philadelphia playing Tampa. Florida is out of playoff contention but the Islanders are chasing down seriously struggling Tampa for the final playoff spot. With the Islanders playing last night I like Florida’s chances to win and Philly-Tampa, who knows who will win. both have been struggling significantly recently. In the west Vancouver hopes to break out of a slump against Columbus while Anaheim takes on the lowly Blackhawks. I expect Anaheim will beat Chicago but Vancouver will

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Game Predictions – 3/16/2006

After a light NHL schedule last night we have a near full NHL schedule tonight with 10 games set to be played. Here are some thoughts on each game. Ottawa-Boston – Ottawa and Boston have played 6 games so far this year with Ottawa winning the first 3 games and Boston winning the last 3. But Boston has lost 6 in a row and 11 of 13 so Ottawa, who has been playing pretty good hockey lately, should win this one fairly easily. The only playoff impact is on Ottawa’s battle for first in the conference and division with Carolina

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