Mar 252006
 

Here are the updated predicted final standings heading into tonights games. Unless Toronto, Florida and the Islanders can gain some ground quickly it looks like the east is going to turn into a 2 team race between Atlanta and Montreal though Tampa and New Jersey can’t feel too secure about their positions either. Buffalo has fallen out of the race for the division and conference title but Carolina could still put some pressure on Ottawa for the top seed in the east as they still have 5 games remaining against the lowly Capitals.

In the west, Anaheim looks to be solidly in a playoff spot now with Colorado looking fairly good too. That leaves San Jose, Edmonton, Vancouver and Los Angeles battling for the final 2 playoff spots. The edge has to go to San Jose and Edmonton who have slightly easier schedules and have more games remaining than Vancouver. The Vancouver-Edmonton game tonight is a more important game for the Canucks than the Oilers because of this.

Eastern Conference Predicted Standings

Pos Team GP Pts Schedule Strength Future GP Future SchedStr Pred Pts Total Pts
1 Ottawa 69 102 0.487 13 0.503 18 120
2 Carolina 69 98 0.477 13 0.433 20 118
3 Buffalo 69 93 0.491 13 0.513 16 109
4 NY Rangers 70 89 0.467 12 0.486 14 103
5 Philadelphia 70 88 0.467 12 0.477 14 102
6 Tampa Bay 70 79 0.479 12 0.486 13 92
7 New Jersey 70 79 0.471 12 0.502 12 91
8 Atlanta 70 76 0.484 12 0.461 13 89
9 Montreal 69 75 0.506 13 0.509 14 89
10 Florida 70 71 0.488 12 0.463 12 83
11 NY Islanders 69 69 0.483 13 0.446 14 83
12 Toronto 69 70 0.508 13 0.500 13 83
13 Boston 71 66 0.510 11 0.523 9 75
14 Washington 69 53 0.495 13 0.504 9 62
15 Pittsburgh 70 48 0.496 12 0.451 9 57

Western Conference Predicted Standings

Pos Team GP Pts Schedule Strength Future GP Future SchedStr Pred Pts TotalPts
1 Detroit 69 102 0.488 13 0.433 21 123
2 Dallas 70 97 0.517 12 0.521 16 113
3 Nashville 70 92 0.493 12 0.451 17 109
4 Calgary 70 86 0.507 12 0.567 13 99
5 Anaheim 69 84 0.515 13 0.551 14 98
6 Colorado 70 83 0.517 12 0.500 14 97
7 San Jose 68 78 0.523 14 0.507 16 94
8 Edmonton 70 80 0.521 12 0.516 13 93
9 Vancouver 71 82 0.511 11 0.576 11 93
10 Los Angeles 70 79 0.520 12 0.563 12 91
11 Minnesota 70 71 0.523 12 0.523 12 83
12 Phoenix 70 70 0.526 12 0.542 11 81
13 Columbus 70 57 0.508 12 0.499 9 66
14 Chicago 69 52 0.512 13 0.492 10 62
15 St. Louis 68 51 0.510 14 0.512 10 61

  3 Responses to “Predicted Final NHL Standings”

  1.  

    One question, David. The column labeled “Schedule Strength”, is that for all 82 games or just the games played by that one team up to the point you posted the standings? Also, how come some teams with easier schedules and more games remaining are predicted to pick up fewer points than those with less games and substantially tougher schedules? An example of this would be Columbus with a strength of .499 and 9 points in 12 games in contrast to Dallas with a strength of .521 and 16 points in 12 games?

  2.  

    Schedule strength is the difficulty of the schedule up until now.

    Dallas can get more points in fewer games with a tougher schedule because Dallas is a substantially better team. Where Dallas should beat .500 teams more often than not, Columbus will more often than not lose to them.

  3.  

    Alright, I just wasn’t sure if you considered a team’s overall strength into those calculations. Thanks for the clarification.

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