Mar 132006
 

A couple weeks ago I posted some predictions on the final NHL standings. Here are the updated predictions through last nights games. The predictions are calculated based on the number of games each team has left as well as the difficulty of their remaining schedule compared to their performance so far and their difficulty of schedule so far.

In the east we have the playoff race tightening up some with Tampa predicted to get the final playoff spot with 89 points. Atlanta and the NY Islanders are tied for 9th with 85 points and Toronto is next with 83 points. New Jersey and Montreal project to 93 points each so are in a reasonable comfortable position so long as they don’t go on any lengthy losing streaks.

In the west the race is very tight from 6 thru 10. Anaheim projects to finish the year in 6th spot tied with Los Angeles with 95 points. Vancouver holds down the 8th spot with 94 points with Edmonton and San Jose hot on their heals with a projected 92 and 91 points. Those 5 teams will likely battle for the final playoff spot down to the last week.

Eastern Conference Predicted Standings

Pos Team GP Pts Schedule Strength Future GP Future SchedStr Pred Pts Total Pts
1 Carolina 64 92 0.472 18 0.451 27 119
2 Ottawa 63 91 0.489 19 0.501 26 117
3 Buffalo 63 89 0.486 19 0.523 24 113
4 NY Rangers 64 82 0.468 18 0.486 22 104
5 Philadelphia 65 80 0.471 17 0.468 21 101
6 Montreal 63 71 0.509 19 0.494 22 93
7 New Jersey 64 74 0.470 18 0.495 19 93
8 Tampa Bay 64 70 0.478 18 0.477 19 89
9 Atlanta 65 68 0.480 17 0.476 17 85
10 NY Islanders 63 64 0.489 19 0.433 21 85
11 Toronto 63 64 0.511 19 0.496 19 83
12 Florida 64 61 0.490 18 0.455 18 79
13 Boston 65 60 0.510 17 0.527 15 75
14 Washington 63 51 0.490 19 0.498 15 66
15 Pittsburgh 65 44 0.496 17 0.472 12 56

Western Conference Predicted Standings

Pos Team GP Pts Schedule Strength Future GP Future SchedStr Pred Pts TotalPts
1 Detroit 64 93 0.483 18 0.470 26 119
2 Dallas 64 87 0.514 18 0.519 24 111
3 Nashville 64 82 0.490 18 0.483 23 105
4 Calgary 63 79 0.515 19 0.523 23 102
5 Colorado 66 80 0.520 16 0.506 19 99
6 Anaheim 63 74 0.515 19 0.538 21 95
7 Los Angeles 65 77 0.513 17 0.556 18 95
8 Vancouver 65 76 0.514 17 0.554 18 94
9 Edmonton 65 74 0.521 17 0.541 18 92
10 San Jose 62 69 0.521 20 0.514 22 91
11 Minnesota 66 68 0.522 16 0.546 15 83
12 Phoenix 65 62 0.535 17 0.495 17 79
13 Columbus 64 54 0.508 18 0.493 15 69
14 St. Louis 62 49 0.506 20 0.517 15 64
15 Chicago 64 49 0.511 18 0.497 14 63

  3 Responses to “Predicted Final Standings…”

  1.  

    I have also been doing this since David first posted his. My categories are also in the same order as David’s.

    *All numbers are for all games completed through Saturday*

    Eastern Conference:
    1. Ottawa-63-91-.413-19-.526-27-118
    2. Carolina-64-92-.508-18-.579-25-117
    3. Buffalo-64-87-.419-18-.526-24-111
    4. NY Rangers-64-82-.430-18-.444-23-105
    5. Philadelphia-64-80-.423-18-.471-22-102
    6. Tampa Bay-62-72-.445-20-.444-23-95
    7. New Jersey-64-74-.477-18-.333-20-94
    8. Montreal-64-70-.532-18-.342-19-89
    9. Atlanta-64-66-.454-18-.412-18-84
    10. Toronto-63-64-.532-19-.553-19-83
    11. Boston-64-62-.523-18-.588-17-79
    12. NY Islanders-64-61-.563-18-.421-17-78
    13. Florida-64-60-.524-18-.389-16-76
    14. Washington-62-49-.468-20-.579-15-64
    15. Pittsburgh-64-42-.577-18-.353-11-53

    Western Conference:
    1. Detroit-62-89-.445-20-.444-28-117
    2. Dallas-62-87-.477-20-.444-28-115
    3. Nashville-63-81-.453-19-.583-24-105
    4. Calgary-62-79-.570-20-.444-25-104
    5. Colorado-65-78-.563-17-.472-20-98
    6. Los Angeles-65-77-.500-17-.588-20-97
    7. Vancouver-65-76-.562-17-.618-19-95
    8. Edmonton-64-74-.570-18-.588-20-94
    9. Anaheim-63-71-.460-19-.684-21-92
    10. Minnesota-62-69-.545-20-.688-22-91
    11. San Jose-65-67-.516-17-.475-17-84
    12. Phoenix-63-64-.569-19-.559-19-83
    13. Columbus-64-54-.406-18-.361-15-69
    14. Chicago-62-51-.538-20-.469-16-67
    15. St. Louis-63-49-.532-19-.575-14-63

    Let me know if you are having any difficulties reading anything. I know what everything means and I still can’t read it. Just remember that Nashville is 4th and Calgary is 3rd because of divisional winners seeded 1-3.

  2.  

    [...] March 13, 2006 Projected Final Standings [...]

  3.  

    [...] Here are the updated predictions of the final standings which are based on how each team has performed so far and their strength of schedule and the difficulty of their remaining schedule. Changes since last update on March 13 include: [...]

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