Game Predictions – 3/13/2006
We have 5 games on the schedule today, a couple of them with huge playoff significance. In the east we have the free falling Tampa visiting the hot Montreal Canadiens. Montreal has moved 1 point ahead of the Lightning into 7th spot int he east and would desperately like to put some separation between the two teams forcing Tampa to deal with the Thrashers, Islanders and Leafs who are looking to grab a playoff spot. The number 1 thing the Thrashers, Islanders and Leafs is for the game to no go into overtime and become a 3 poitn game.
In the west we have a game of similar importance. Tenth place San Jose plays 6th place Los Angeles who they trail by 8 points but San Jose has 3 games in hand. A San Jose win tonight will put the Kings within reach just by winning those 3 extra games. This is a big game for both the Skarks and Kings.
In other games Vancouver who isjust 2 points ahead of 9th place Edmonton looks to improve its playoff chances against the Dallas Stars. Calgary and Colorado are playing for playoff position as well. Calgary trails Colorado by a single point for top spot in the northwest division and the 3rd seed in the western conference playoffs. The final game, S. Louis at Columbus, no one really cares about.
Here is my predictions success rate since I began using the new prediction algorthm.
Strong: 22 of 35 – 62.9%
Good: 25 of 41 – 61.0%
Some: 78 of 135 – 57.8%
Overall: 125 of 211 – 59.2%
Since last week Strong and Some success rates rose marginally while the Good sucess rate fell from 69%. The overall success rate fell from 59.5%. It was a tough week to make predictions being the trade deadline and all but also because there were so many close games. Over the last week there were 11 games to go to a shootout and another 8 games that ended in overtime.
|Home Team||Road Team||Predicted Winner||Confidence|
|St. Louis||Columbus||St. Louis||Some|
|San Jose||Los Angeles||San Jose||Some|