Mar 082006
 

Ottawa remains on top of the Power Rankings and barring a collapse look like they will remain their for the remainder of the season. After Ottawa though we have 6 teams tightly packed together – Detroit, Buffalo, Calgary, Colorado, Dallas and Carolina. In my mind these are your top Stanley Cup contenders.

This weeks movers include Colorado (down to 5 from 2), Los Angeles (up to 10 from 13), Phoenix (up to 16 from 20), and Philadelphia (down to 18 from 14).

(Be sure to scroll down past the Power Rankings for bonus information)

Rank Last Week Team AdjWinP SchedStr Power Rank
1 1 Ottawa 0.700 0.495 0.693
2 3 Detroit 0.672 0.486 0.621
3 5 Buffalo 0.650 0.486 0.620
4 4 Calgary 0.598 0.516 0.616
5 2 Colorado 0.562 0.526 0.606
6 6 Dallas 0.589 0.515 0.606
7 8 Carolina 0.664 0.471 0.603
8 7 Vancouver 0.556 0.514 0.568
9 10 Edmonton 0.516 0.526 0.558
10 13 Los Angeles 0.532 0.515 0.548
11 9 San Jose 0.508 0.521 0.540
12 11 Nashville 0.573 0.488 0.539
13 15 Anaheim 0.516 0.517 0.535
14 12 Minnesota 0.477 0.527 0.518
15 16 Montreal 0.484 0.510 0.517
16 20 Phoenix 0.452 0.537 0.511
17 17 Toronto 0.475 0.513 0.508
18 14 Philadelphia 0.565 0.468 0.507
19 18 NY Rangers 0.557 0.467 0.500
20 19 Tampa Bay 0.524 0.473 0.484
21 21 Boston 0.444 0.507 0.466
22 22 New Jersey 0.492 0.476 0.464
23 24 NY Islanders 0.443 0.491 0.448
24 23 Atlanta 0.476 0.472 0.440
25 25 Florida 0.402 0.481 0.386
26 26 Columbus 0.347 0.507 0.356
27 27 Chicago 0.344 0.504 0.347
28 29 St. Louis 0.317 0.504 0.321
29 28 Washington 0.308 0.486 0.302
30 30 Pittsburgh 0.258 0.502 0.272

AdjWinP is a teams winning percentage when shootouts are considered ties and there are no points awarded for overtime losses
SchedStr is an indication of a teams relative difficulty of schedule
Power Rank is the teams expected winning percentage if team played all .500 teams

Prior to the Olympics I posted an article on each teams records against teams ranked in top 10, middle 10 and bottom 10 in my rankings. Once again here is how they rank. If you are wondering why a team like Philadelphia gets ranked 18th these tables will explain why. Philadelphia has just 4 wins against teams ranked in the top 10 and just 5 more against teams in the middle 10. That leaves the bottom 10 teams which Philadelphia has beaten 29 times. 54 of Philadelphia’s 78 points have come against teams in the bottom 10 teams in my power ranking system. That is why Philadelphia is 18th in the power rankings.

Record Against Top 10 Power Ranked Teams

Pos Team GP Wins Losses OTW SOW OTL SOL Trad. Win%
1 Carolina 9 6 3 0 1 0 1 0.667
2 Ottawa 14 8 6 0 0 1 2 0.643
3 Calgary 26 15 11 1 2 2 1 0.558
4 Detroit 19 10 9 1 0 2 1 0.553
5 Los Angeles 22 12 10 1 1 1 0 0.523
6 Nashville 26 13 13 2 0 2 1 0.519
7 Atlanta 14 7 7 0 0 1 0 0.500
8 Edmonton 28 14 14 3 2 0 1 0.482
9 San Jose 27 12 15 2 1 2 3 0.481
10 Dallas 24 14 10 1 5 1 0 0.479
11 Tampa Bay 14 6 8 1 0 0 1 0.464
12 New Jersey 13 6 7 0 1 0 1 0.462
13 Colorado 30 11 19 1 0 0 4 0.433
14 Phoenix 33 15 18 2 3 0 1 0.424
15 Buffalo 12 5 7 0 1 0 1 0.417
16 Vancouver 28 11 17 1 2 2 3 0.411
17 St. Louis 25 9 16 1 2 1 2 0.360
18 NY Rangers 13 5 8 1 1 0 0 0.346
19 Philadelphia 13 4 9 1 1 1 2 0.346
20 Anaheim 25 7 18 1 1 1 4 0.340
21 Minnesota 33 11 22 0 0 3 0 0.333
22 Florida 14 4 10 1 0 0 1 0.321
23 Montreal 21 7 14 1 1 3 0 0.310
24 NY Islanders 17 5 12 0 1 0 1 0.294
25 Chicago 25 7 18 0 1 2 1 0.280
26 Washington 11 3 8 0 0 0 0 0.273
27 Boston 20 4 16 1 0 1 2 0.250
28 Toronto 20 3 17 1 1 0 3 0.200
29 Columbus 25 4 21 0 2 0 2 0.160
30 Pittsburgh 16 2 14 0 0 2 1 0.156

Record Against Middle 10 Power Ranked Teams

Pos Team GP Wins Losses OTW SOW OTL SOL Trad. Win%
1 Vancouver 20 15 5 1 0 0 0 0.750
2 Colorado 22 16 6 1 0 1 0 0.727
3 Ottawa 25 18 7 1 2 0 2 0.720
4 Buffalo 22 15 7 3 2 1 3 0.705
5 Detroit 21 14 7 1 0 1 0 0.667
6 Anaheim 22 13 9 1 0 2 2 0.636
7 Montreal 20 12 8 3 0 3 1 0.625
8 NY Rangers 16 10 6 1 0 4 0 0.625
9 Minnesota 18 12 6 1 2 0 0 0.611
10 Dallas 25 16 9 1 2 1 0 0.600
11 Calgary 21 11 10 0 0 0 2 0.571
12 Edmonton 21 13 8 1 4 2 1 0.548
13 Washington 23 13 10 1 3 0 2 0.543
14 Carolina 21 12 9 1 2 3 0 0.524
15 Toronto 18 8 10 2 0 1 1 0.472
16 Tampa Bay 16 8 8 1 1 0 0 0.469
17 Boston 24 10 14 1 0 2 2 0.458
18 New Jersey 22 11 11 1 3 1 1 0.455
19 Phoenix 18 8 10 1 1 1 1 0.444
20 Los Angeles 27 12 15 2 3 3 1 0.407
21 Columbus 22 10 12 1 3 0 0 0.386
22 San Jose 21 7 14 3 0 1 2 0.381
23 Nashville 13 6 7 0 3 1 0 0.346
24 Chicago 20 6 14 2 0 0 1 0.325
25 Philadelphia 16 5 11 2 1 2 1 0.312
26 Florida 21 5 16 1 0 3 2 0.286
27 Atlanta 22 6 16 1 2 1 1 0.250
28 Pittsburgh 22 5 17 2 1 3 1 0.227
29 St. Louis 18 3 15 0 1 2 2 0.194
30 NY Islanders 19 4 15 0 1 1 0 0.184

Record Against Bottom 10 Power Ranked Teams

Pos Team GP Wins Losses OTW SOW OTL SOL Trad. Win%
1 San Jose 12 9 3 0 0 0 1 0.792
2 Detroit 21 17 4 1 1 1 0 0.786
3 Los Angeles 14 11 3 1 0 0 0 0.786
4 Philadelphia 33 25 8 4 1 2 2 0.773
5 Dallas 13 11 2 0 2 1 0 0.769
6 Nashville 23 17 6 0 1 1 2 0.761
7 Carolina 31 25 6 2 3 0 0 0.758
8 NY Islanders 25 20 5 3 5 0 2 0.740
9 Toronto 23 17 6 2 1 0 0 0.717
10 Calgary 14 9 5 1 0 0 2 0.714
11 Ottawa 21 15 6 0 0 0 0 0.714
12 Buffalo 26 19 7 2 1 0 0 0.712
13 Atlanta 26 16 10 2 1 0 3 0.654
14 Minnesota 13 7 6 0 0 0 3 0.654
15 Anaheim 14 9 5 0 1 2 1 0.643
16 Boston 18 11 7 2 0 2 1 0.639
17 NY Rangers 32 21 11 1 4 3 1 0.609
18 Columbus 15 10 5 3 2 0 0 0.600
19 Colorado 12 8 4 0 3 0 1 0.583
20 Tampa Bay 32 19 13 2 3 1 2 0.578
21 Vancouver 15 9 6 0 1 0 0 0.567
22 Phoenix 11 6 5 2 0 1 0 0.545
23 Edmonton 13 5 8 0 0 1 4 0.538
24 Florida 26 14 12 2 1 2 1 0.538
25 New Jersey 27 15 12 1 3 3 2 0.537
26 Montreal 20 10 10 2 1 0 2 0.525
27 Chicago 16 7 9 2 1 3 2 0.469
28 St. Louis 17 6 11 0 1 1 2 0.382
29 Pittsburgh 24 7 17 1 0 2 3 0.354
30 Washington 26 4 22 0 3 3 1 0.115

  One Response to “NHL Power Rankings – March 8, 2006”

  1.  

    This is my first power rankings in quite some time. Because it has been so long, I don’t have the data of what the rankings were the last time I posted them. I edited my formula so the best team has a power ranking of 100.0. This week, for me, it is:

    1) Carolina 100.0
    2) Ottawa 98.3
    3) Detroit 96.7
    4) Buffalo 93.8
    5) Dallas 92.9
    6) NY Rangers 88.9
    7) Nashville 86.4
    8) Calgary 85.6
    9) Philadelphia 85.3
    10) Los Angeles 80.7
    11) Vancouver 80.6
    12) Colorado 80.5
    13) Edmonton 79.8
    14) New Jersey 78.7
    15) Anaheim 77.8
    16) Tampa Bay 76.5
    17) Montreal 74.4
    18) San Jose 73.4
    19) Atlanta 70.0
    20) Minnesota 69.9
    21) Phoenix 67.8
    22) Toronto 67.7
    23) NY Islanders 66.7
    24) Boston 65.6
    25) Florida 61.6
    26) Columbus 54.7
    27) Chicago 54.4
    28) Washington 54.2
    29) St. Louis 52.0
    30) Pittsburgh 43.7

    From now on, I will also keep track of how a teams power ranking has increased or decreased, as well as their overall position. I will post mine every week when David posts his.

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