Feb 112006
 

Last night was a bit of an off night going just 3 for 8 but games like Pittsburgh upsetting Carolina isn’t something that many people are going to regularly predict. I also took a hit in the betting balance. My betting balance dropped to $117.03.

Home Team Road Team Predicted Winner Confidence
New Jersey(-270) NY Islanders(+230) New Jersey Some
Los Angeles(-310) Chicago(+250) Los Angeles Strong
Toronto(-115) NY Rangers(-105) Toronto Some
Boston(-115) Tampa Bay(-105) Boston Some
Montreal(-155) Atlanta(+135) Montreal Good
Ottawa(-300) Philadelphia(+240) Ottawa Good
Washington(-225) Pittsburgh(+185) Washington Some
Buffalo(-245) Florida(+205) Buffalo Strong
Nashville(-270) Columbus(+230) Nashville Good

(Betting lines by Bowmans)

New Jersey should beat the Islanders and Buffalo should be Florida but those are the only obvious picks if you ask me.

Los Angeles/Chicago – A month ago this would be Los Angeles all the way but the Kings have been playing real poorly lately and have gone from battling with Dallas for the division lead to being just 2 points from being out of a playoff spot. At -310 odds, I do not like the Los Angeles bet. I think this game is much more even and could go either way.

Nashville/Columbus – This is another game in which I think the betting lines are a bit off. Columbus has been one of the better teams in the NHL the last month while Nashville has lost 6 of their last 8 games. Columbus did play last night which will certainly help Nashville’s chances but I am not sure that they deserve to be such heavy (-270) favourites.

Ottawa/Philadelphia – I am completely surprised at the odds for this game. Ottawa is 2-5 in their last 7 games with wins only over Pittsburgh. Philadelphia has struggled and are suffering some injuries but there is no reason why they should have such poor odds. Also, Philadelphia has beaten Ottawa in the 2 games they have played each other so far this season. I say take the good odds and bet on Philly.


  10 Responses to “NHL Game Predictions – 2/11/2006”

  1.  

    I really start to wonder how they come up with these betting lines. I think they are giving Los Angeles way more credit than they deserve, as they are currently on a 7-game losing streak. I also think that LA shouldn’t be considered a “Strong” prediction, if predicted at all. Philadelphia is also being underrated, as they are incredible underdogs to Ottawa. I am surprised that Montreal is listed as a “Good” favourite over Atlanta, who just a couple days ago did something that not a lot of teams have done: beating Ottawa on the road. This is also the 3rd meeting between Washington and Pittsburgh with Pittsburgh winning both prior meetings. Pittsburgh also did something that not many teams have done: beating Carolina on the road. This will also be an interesting game to view.

    PREDICTIONS:
    Strong: None (Again)
    Good: NJ, PIT, BUF, NSH
    Some: LA, NYR, ATL, TB, OTT

    Strong: 50 for 66, 75.8%
    Good: 92 for 169, 54.4%
    Some: 83 for 158, 52.5%
    Overall: 225 for 393, 57.3%

  2.  

    I got really, really stung by atlanta when they beat ottawa at home the other day, I agree it’s a good bet for the odd.

    OTT vs. PHI is curious, Philly is playing well but they almost blew it vs. the lowly Caps (and gave up their 2 goal lead, screwing me over), and after losing back to back you’d think the sens would’ve used their off days to practice and get their game back. I foresee Esche crumbling under the onslaught and Philly’s sketchy defense, and bet accordingly :P

    -R

  3.  

    PS, I know there’s no such thing as sure things, but Toronto over the Rangers tonight is sure as shit

  4.  

    “Los Angeles/Chicago – A month ago this would be Los Angeles all the way but the Kings have been playing real poorly lately and have gone from battling with Dallas for the division lead to being just 2 points from being out of a playoff spot. At -310 odds, I do not like the Los Angeles bet. I think this game is much more even and could go either way.”

    Don´t go against the mighty system .
    Seriously, I´ve been following your picks and the system looks pretty good.
    Are you still tweaking it or it´s finished?
    I suppose you just enter the new stats after every game so it will keep updating its predictions.
    Good luck .

  5.  

    Are you still tweaking it or it´s finished?

    I made that one major overhaul a couple weeks ago and I have have a couple other things I want to take a look at but I am not sure if I will end up changing it or not. We’ll see what I find when I start looking at the numbers a little differently.

  6.  

    Yech.

    Yet again, ed belfour steals defeat from the jaws of victory with laughable goaltending. Even so, if the leafs would have put in half the goals as they did hit posts, would have won.

    Blah

  7.  

    4 wins and 5 losses are unacceptable David !!!!!!
    just kidding David,get it done tomorrow.last chance before break !!!!

  8.  

    Yeah, something really wierd seems to be happening. This is (at least) 3 Saturdays in a row where I have done poorly. Three weeks is probably not enough to draw any conclusions but it has me wondering what’s going on. I have a hard time believing that the day of the week matters but you never know. Maybe teams get up for national TV and this upsets are more likely to happen. Or maybe it is afternoon games.

  9.  

    Well, with only one day before the break, we all hope our predictions are accurate. Since last Saturday, a day I would rather forget going 2 for 13, I have gone 37 for 47. Also, my betting balance has increased in the past week by $97.17. With seven games today, I hope I can increase it by even more. There are some important games today as far as the divisional and conference standings go, as Dallas plays in Los Angeles, Colorado at Detroit, and Buffalo in Carolina. As we are now less than 24 hours away from when the players will fly to Torino to meet their teammates for Winter Olympics XX, we begin to wonder how many more players will opt to sit out the games due to injury. Some notables have already dropped out like Neidermeyer, so who knows what else can happen between now and Wednesday, when the competition begins.

    The Women’s Team Canada clobbered Italy 16-0 in their first game. This is the largest Olympic rout since US won 13-0 against Team Japan in the ’98 Olympics in Nagano. One thing in common: The losing teams both were from the host nation. Maybe Team Canada will lose embarrassingly in 2008, when Vancouver is hosting those games.

  10.  

    I rather doubt that, italy and japan aren’t exactly quality hockey teams :P

    PS, my money picks for today will be carolina and dallas, anyone else have a good feeling? Was thinking vancouver as well

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