NHL Power Rankings – Feb. 1, 2006
These are the first power rankings under my new algorithm which I think is a fair bit more accurate, and possibly more controversial, than the previous version. The improvements made include:
-Treating shootout wins/losses as ties. The shootout does not accurately reflect the ability of a team to win or lose games (when a skills compention is not required) and as we all know, there is no shootout in the playoffs.
-Overtime losses are treated as losses. No points for them.
-A significantly improved method of accounting for difficulty of schedule.
The result of these changes is that you will find teams in the stronger divisions being ranked higher than under the old system and teams in weaker divisions being ranked lower. The team with the most difficult schedule so far is Colorado while the team with the easiest schedule so far is the New York Rangers. As a result Colorado has moved up in the standings while the Rangers are sitting well below where many people would rank them in 22nd position. The reason is the Rangers have played teams ranked 1-15 just 16 times and in those games they are just 6-10 (and one of those wins was a shootout win). They will have to prove themselves down the stretch when they play Ottawa (3 times), Carolina (twice), Buffalo, Toronto (3 times) and Philadelphia 5 more times. For similar reasons Philadelphia and New Jersey are well below where many would place them.
|Rank||Last Week||Team||AdjWinP||SchedStr||Power Rank|
AdjWinP is a teams winning percentage when shootouts are considered ties and there are no points awarded for overtime losses
SchedStr is an indication of a teams relative difficulty of schedule
Power Rank is the teams expected winning percentage if team played all .500 teams