Game Predictions – 1/10/2005

Before I get to todays predictions I’d thought I’d give up and updated tally of my success rate. I usually try to do this Mondays but I forgot yesterday. Strong: 86 of 118, 72.9% Good: 109 of 170, 64.1% Some: 79 of 153, 51.6% I am quite happy about the Strong success rate, somewhat satisfied with the Good success rate but quite dissapointed with how much the Some success rate has dropped off. It wasn’t that long ago when it was approaching 60%. Must have been a bad few weeks in there with lots of minor upsets. So, on to

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Game Predictions – 1/9/2005

Just four games on schedule tonight so I’ll give you a few of my thoughts on each game before getting to the predictions. New Jersey/Philadelphia – On the weekend Philadelphia passed Ottawa for the most points in the eastern conference with 60 to Ottawa’s 59 (though Ottawa has a game in hand). They are also 12-2-3 since December first so they clearly have been a dominating team. New Jersey on the other hand is about as inconsistant as they come although they are on a hot streak winning 3 in a row including a Saturday win over the surprisingly strong

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Why Crosby doesn't deserve Rookie of the Year

There are a lot of reasons why Crosby should be considered a top rookie of the year candidate. And deservingly so. He is having a very good year. But in my mind there is one thing that he does that should automatically eliminate him from contention and it was seen once again in last nights game against the Atlanta Thrashers. I’m not talking about him losing his cool and taking a retaliation slashing penalty, I’m talking about him taking a diving penalty. In my mind, diving is as unsportsmanlike as you can get almost on par with straight out cheating.

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Game Predictions – 1/8/2006

Sorry for the delay. Since these are quite a bit later than usual and I don’t have a lot of tme for analysis I’ll get right to the predictions. Home Team Road Team Predicted Winner Confidence Washington Florida Washington Some Detroit Dallas Detroit Some Chicago Nashville Nashville Good Phoenix Columbus Phoenix Strong

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Game Predictions – 1/8/2006

It’s Hockey Day in Canada today which means the only reason couch potato Canadians will have to leave their couches in front of the TV is to get the beer, meet the pizza delivery guy at the door and relieve himself at regular time intervals (length of time interval depends on beer intake). The afternoon hockey game features Ottawa at Montreal, an excellent team struggling through some serious injury woes vs a middle of the road team just plain struggling. According to my prediction algorithm Ottawa is a bit (“some”) of a favourite over Montreal and that is probably a

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Mid-season awards

HockeyDirt.com has posted the results of a mid-season award poll he conducted and of which I was a part. The biggest surprise in my mind is the Crosby getting so little support for rookie of the year. I posted my comments on the issue and why I think Lundqvist deserves the ROY award at HockeyDirt.com. To the best of my recollection, here is who I voted for: Calder: Lundqvist Norris: McCabe Hart: Jagr (I think) or possibly Alfredsson. I don’t really recall. Thornton is playing himself into contention though. Vezina: Hasek Lady Byng: Don’t remember but I don’t really care

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Is the NHL misleading us?

One has to wonder if the NHL is playing funny with numbers again. This time with the predicted revenue for the season which has reduced the escrow players are getting deducted from their paychecks. Current projections call for league-wide revenues of around $2.1 billion, some $300 million more than the $1.8 billion the new CBA had based this season’s framework on. If revenues hit $1.9 billion this season, the total escrow payment at the end of the season will be about 6.9 per cent and if revenue hits $2 billion, the escrow payment would be in the range of 1.7

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NHL Predictions – 1/6/2006

Six games on the schedule tonight but none you would really consider rivalry or important matchups except for Nashville-Detroit. Nashville trails Detroit by 4 points for first in both the division and conference with a game in hand. I am sure Detroit really wants the win to put a bit more space between the two teams while a Nashville will put the teams almost deadlocked with half a season left to play. For western Canadians there is always high interest when Toronto comes ot town so I am sure a lot of people will be watching the Calgary-Toronto game. The

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The need for a bit of logic in statistical analysis

Have you ever wondered what happens when little or no logic is used when performing statistical analysis? Well, here is your answer. Some scientists with too much time on their hand studied thousands of NHL, MLB, NFL, NBA and English soccer game results and concluded that because English soccer is more unpredictable than the other sports (i.e. upsets happen more often) that it is thus more entertaining. Eli Ben-Naim, Sidney Redner and Federico Vazquez at the Los Alamos National Laboratory in New Mexico decided to look at unpredictability of results – how often a team with a worse record overcomes

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Game Predictions – 1/5/2006

Kind of another dull night on the schedule with no real rivalry or important games being played. Philadelphia-NY Rangers might provide some entertainment and both are quality teams and Tampa at Buffalo features two skilled teams but still, not a lot to get excited about. In other games, Vancouver, who blew a 3rd period lead last night to Dallas, will try to break out of their slump against the surprisingly bad Chicago Blackhawks and Ottawa will take their injury riddled team (Alfredsson and Spezza most importantly) into Boston. Ottawa is getting a bit of luck in that they are playing

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