Dec 192005
 

Before I get to today’s game predictions let me update everyone on my game prediction success rate. I think I am going to start doing this every monday.

Strong: 70 of 97 predictions correct – 72.2%
Good: 86 of 130 predictions correct – 66.2%
Some: 59 of 106 predictions correct – 55.7%
97 games too close to predict

Those numbers are just the algorithm generated results. With some additional knowledge like injuries and back up goalie use you should be able to improve on them.

Now for today’s games. There are several interesting games being played tonight. The Buffalo Sabres try to continue their hot streak against the Philadelphia Flyers. This game is a pick-em and for good reason but I think Buffalo takes the loss tonight. Toronto and the NY Islanders battle it out for the 8th and final playoff spot in the eastern conference. Toronto currently has a 1 poitn lead. Toronto is listed as the slight favourite and I’d have to agree with that. After some poor play in recent games I think they are going to play with some determination and consistant effort tonight. Surprisingly the Dallas-Minnesota game is listed as a pick-em. You’d think Dallas would be the favourites but maybe the algorithm knows something we don’t. Dallas should win this game. Los Angeles at Vancouver should also be an entertaining game but Vancouver is definitely the better team so they should win easily on home ice. And the most entertaining game of the night is the Battle of Alberts – Calgary at Edmonton. Edmonton is the slight favourites in this game which is also a bit surprising to me. I think Calgary is the better team but with most rivalry games, they are often close and can go either way.

IT should be a good night of hockey. Enjoy.

Home Team Road Team Predicted Winner Confidence
Philadelphia Buffalo Pick N/A
Toronto NY Islanders Toronto Some
Minnesota Dallas Pick N/A
Edmonton Calgary Edmonton Some
Vancouver Los Angeles Vancouver Some

  3 Responses to “Game Predictions – 12/19/2005”

  1.  

    I don’t have much time for analysis, so I will just get to the predictions.

    BUF @ PHI (Buffalo-Good)
    DAL @ MIN (Dallas-Good)
    NYI @ TOR (NY Islanders-Some)
    CGY @ EDM (Calgary-Some)
    LA @ VAN (Vancouver-Some)

    Running Total:
    Strong: 7-0-1, 93.8%
    Good: 7-3-3, 65.4%
    Some: 3-5-0, 37.5%
    Overall: 17-8-4, 65.5%

    I hope that I can rebound after going 1-3-0 yesterday, and I am really going to try to get my “Some” percentage up over 65 by the end of the year.

  2.  

    OK about the Power Rankings, but where do you want me to post them? Under the section for Power Rankings on the left column?

  3.  

    […] Yesterday’s predictions had Dallas-Minnesota as a pick-em game and I commented that it seemed odd considering Dallas seems to be a much better team. But apparently my predicting formula knew something I didn’t as Minnesota did win what was a fairly close 2-1 game. […]

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