Game Predictions – 12/10/2005

For the first time in, well, maybe ever, the Ottawa Senators aren’t a favourite to win their game as the Ottawa-Calgary game is classified as a pick-em by my forumula. This is going to be another very tough game for Ottawa as they are playing back to back nights on the road which is never easy, plus with overtime and the shootout the game went later than usual. Zdeno Chara played almost 33 minutes last night and one wonders how he is going to feel tonight, especially later in the game. Most importantly though is will the Ottawa Senators view the Canucks game as a wakeup call and play with more intensity and more disciplined and can Spezza and Heatley get back on track. I’ll take Calgary in another low scoring game.

I can’t say there is going to be a lot of other exciting games out there. Toronto-Dallas should be interesting as they are both pretty good teams but I really can’t get up for Los Angeles-Florida or Philadelphia-Minnesota. With Philadelphia missing Forsberg, Gagne, Primeau, Desjardins, and Pitkanen there isn’t going to be much offense in this game. We might have another 0-0 shootout tiebreaker on our hands. With Philadelphia’s injuries, a Minnesota upset is definitely a possible outcome.

In the two other pick-em games I’ll take Tampa to win on home ice and Edmonton to defeat the Islanders in New York.

Home Team Road Team Predicted Winner Confidence
Philadelphia Minnesota Philadelphia Good
Los Angeles Florida Los Angeles Strong
Toronto Dallas Dallas Some
Montreal Anaheim Montreal Good
NY Islanders Edmonton Pick N/A
Pittsburgh Colorado Colorado Some
Tampa Bay Nashville Pick N/A
St. Louis NY Rangers NY Rangers Good
Calgary Ottawa Pick N/A
San Jose Carolina Carolina Some

This article has 3 Comments

  1. I was just wondering if you could tell us what formula you use for calculating Game Predictions. If you do tell, I promise to not divulge this information to anybody else. Thank you.

  2. I have been asked this before and I am not yet decided as to whether I want to but I will say that it is based on researching 2002-03 and 2003-04 game results to figure out who and why teams might win games and it accounts for things like home vs road, back to back games, the teams record, the difficulty of schedule that produced that teams record, etc. Surprisingly it is not all that complex but if I do decide to let the secret of the bag it will be in the form of a lengthy post explaining in detail the formula and how I came up with it. I could probably spend a couple days writing up all the research I put into developing the forumla and righ tnow I just don’t have that time unfortunately.

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