Nov 282005
 

It’s a quiet night tonight with just 2 games on the schedule tonight so I thought I would take this opportunity to update everyone on my game prediction success rate. These numbers are just for the computer generated predictions and do not take into account my own thoughts where I disagreed with the computer prediction.

Strong confidence: 55 of 81, 67.9% success rate
Good confidence: 54 of 80, 67.5% success rate
Some confidence: 43 of 73, 58.9% success rate
65 games were too close to call

I am generally pleased with those numbers although I would like to see the Strong confidence success rate a tad higher, preferably into the 70-75% range.

And now for tonights games. The eastern conference game sees Toronto playing Florida. Toronto has had a bit of an up and down season (couple good games, followed by a couple bad, etc.) they have generally played better the past couple weeks. For Florida, well, they have been mostly bad with just one win in November (last friday vs Pittsburgh) and having lost 13 of their last 14 games. Picking Toronto to win this game is a no brainer. The western conference matchup is sure to be a good one as Central division leader Detroit plays Pacific division leader Los Angeles. Los Angeles is considered the slight favourite largely because they are playing at home but honestly, this one could go either way. Both teams are very good. It’s a tough call but I’ll stick with the computer prediction of Los Angeles.

Home Team Road Team Predicted Winner Confidence
Florida Toronto Toronto Good
Los Angeles Detroit Los Angeles Some

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