Game Predictions 10/12/2005

This morning saw the debut of the Power Rankings and this afternoon I debut the second feature. Game predictions. I was reluctant to debut this so early in the season because these game predictions are determined mathematically based on what teams have done up to this point in the season and since the season is only a week old the predictions may be unreliable. But over the past 2 days my picks in which I had good confidence in have gone 6-2 so maybe it isn’t too early. We’ll see what happens now that I make my picks public.

Like the power rankings, the game predictions have no bias or opinion in them. They are 100% determined by mathematical formula which was derived using data from the 2002-03 and 2003-04 NHL seasons. For each pick I will assign a ‘Confidence’ rating which is also mathematically calculated. The confidence ratings are Strong, Good and Some and are an indication of how likely the outcome is to be. You will also find some game predictions listed as Pick. These games are too close to call and could go either way.

Two more notes before we get to the picks. First, these picks don’t account for recent injuries, trade acquisitions, or the use of a backup goalie. These factors could affect the likely outcome of the game so take note. Second, upsets happen and my predictions may not come true. If you use these to help you bet on games don’t blame me if you lose money. Although I strive for a solid sudcess rate, I make no guarantees as to what can happen.

And without further delay, here are the picks for tonights games.

Home Team Road Team Predicted Winner Confidence
Carolina Washington Washington Good
Atlanta Montreal Atlanta Some
Minnesota Vancouver Vancouver Strong
Colorado Nashville Pick N/A
San Jose Columbus San Jose Good